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Mestre vs Sebastiani Rieti Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.1
ItalySerie A2Round 22· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mestre v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Jan 2027
MEST v SEBA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
MEST94
SEBA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 67
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 67
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 67
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 67
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 67
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
152.8Avg total
75.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.076.4151.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (4)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.777.1152.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.683.3157.9-8.629%
vs Similar (14)78.477.9156.3+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 70
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 70
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 70
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
21-16
15-23
14-7
23-19
17-10
11-17
24-15
16-21
23-13
12-13
23-19
22-17
149.0Avg total
75.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.872.1146.9+2.778%
Season at home (5)76.466.6143.0+9.8100%
Season away (4)72.879.0151.8-6.250%
Last 10 (10)75.173.9149.0+1.270%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.281.0157.2-4.840%
vs Similar (14)75.576.4151.9-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.074.6155.6+6.491%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
MestreSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.442.880.2-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.577.0-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
vs Similar (14)37.741.178.8-3.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.933.672.5+5.373%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
71.0%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWWLWLLLWL
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#4
-7.9
Net rating
-1.7
90.1
Offensive rating
94.2
98.0
Defensive rating
95.9
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
9.7%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.1%
3-point %
29.6%
43.6%
Assist %
49.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 94.2Defence98.0 · 95.9Shooting45.6% · 47.0%3-point %31.1% · 29.6%Ball care9.7% · 10.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mestre   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Sebastiani Rieti v Mestre82-80 OT
01/11/25Mestre v Sebastiani Rieti94-102
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMontecatini80-62
08/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia68-63
01/11/26HJuVi Cremona73-65
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.073.077.5
Allowed / game76.478.074.5
Point differential-1.4-5.0+3.0
Avg total151.4151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game74.876.472.8
Allowed / game72.166.679.0
Point differential+2.7+9.8-6.2
Avg total146.9143.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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