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Mestre vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-102
21-19 28-26 27-33 18-24
Position#15
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.8
ItalySerie A2Round 9· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Jan 2027
MEST v SEBA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
MEST94
SEBA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 64
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 64
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 64
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 64
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 64
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 64
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 64
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 64
A29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
161.0Avg total
79.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.281.8161.0-2.538%
Season at home (4)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Season away (4)76.080.5156.5-4.525%
Last 10 (8)79.281.8161.0-2.538%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.084.2158.2-10.20%
vs Similar (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 69
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
61avg 69
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
60-72
60
72
-12
50avg 69
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 69
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-60
90
60
+30
92avg 69
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 69
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 69
H12/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 69
H19/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
79-83
79
83
-4
78avg 69
A26/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
101-78
101
78
+23
104avg 69
H29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
10-19
17-7
24-14
17-28
22-17
13-22
11-17
14-16
20-20
23-23
23-18
11-14
16-11
20-10
38-13
16-26
22-21
28-16
14-14
20-24
20-25
21-10
16-16
16-16
22-22
18-29
22-21
11-16
12-20
16-24
31-20
20-19
26-18
22-25
25-23
28-12
155.9Avg total
78.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.674.8154.4+4.962%
Season at home (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Season away (3)80.077.7157.7+2.367%
Last 10 (10)78.877.1155.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.078.2160.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.082.8152.8-12.80%
vs Similar (18)75.973.7149.7+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.075.8160.8+9.275%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
MestreSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
85.1Avg total
41.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)41.044.185.1-3.138%-
Last 30 at home (4)40.546.887.2-6.225%-
Last 30 away (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (8)41.044.185.1-3.138%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.045.084.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (3)46.048.094.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H19/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
37.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.875.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.873.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.576.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.839.871.5-8.025%-
vs Similar (18)39.435.875.3+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.237.478.6+3.975%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.0
50.7%
50.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.6
42.5%
34.6%28.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.8
72.9%
74.4%11.8
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.8
50.0%
50.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
76.7%
74.4%17.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LLLLWWWL
Sebastiani Rieti
WLLWWWWLLL
#15
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
+2.6
112.5
Offensive rating
107.2
112.5
Defensive rating
104.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
42.5%
3-point %
32.8%
39.9%
Assist %
66.2%
38%
Form (last 8/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 107.2Defence112.5 · 104.6Shooting56.0% · 49.7%3-point %42.5% · 32.8%Ball care15.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds21.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 8/10)38% · 50%
■ Mestre   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia101-78
26/10/25ARoseto79-83
19/10/25HPistoia73-88
12/10/25HCento73-67
08/10/25ACividale84-75
05/10/25HForli90-60
28/09/25ARimini77-75
24/09/25HAvellino Basket60-72
29/05/25HCantu77-84 OT
26/05/25ACantu74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.282.576.0
Allowed / game81.883.080.5
Point differential-2.5-0.5-4.5
Avg total161.0165.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game79.679.480.0
Allowed / game74.873.077.7
Point differential+4.9+6.4+2.3
Avg total154.4152.4157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Verona86275%78.473.0+5.4
2 Pesaro86275%82.078.6+3.4
3 Brindisi85362%78.870.6+8.1
4 Libertas Livorno85362%78.871.4+7.4
5 Fortitudo Bologna85362%79.673.4+6.2
6 Rimini85362%83.478.2+5.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti85362%79.674.8+4.9
8 Avellino Basket84450%77.474.1+3.2
9 Cento84450%78.677.6+1.0
10 Cividale84450%76.976.5+0.4
11 Scafati84450%80.480.5-0.1
12 Pistoia84450%81.882.0-0.2
13 Blu Basket Bergamo84450%84.685.0-0.4
14 Basket Torino84450%71.476.6-5.2
15 JuVi Cremona84450%75.281.1-5.9
16 Mestre83538%79.281.8-2.5
17 Forli83538%75.181.1-6.0
18 Roseto82625%83.488.2-4.9
19 Ruvo Di Puglia82625%74.084.4-10.4
20 Urania Milano81712%76.686.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2128271894
Sebastiani Rieti19263324102
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