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Sebastiani Rieti vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-80 (OT)
24-22 20-15 14-18 16-19 8-6
Position#10
Record15-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.5
Sebastiani Rieti 🏆
Italy
vs
Mestre
Italy
Position#15
Record11-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.6
ItalySerie A2Round 26· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Mestre
06 Dec 2026
SEBA v MEST
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
SEBA82
MEST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 71
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 71
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 71
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 71
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-54
82
54
+28
79avg 71
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 71
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
76avg 71
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
50-65
50
65
-15
42avg 71
A01/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
14-22
13-18
21-15
23-20
21-19
19-22
24-15
13-18
19-25
19-25
22-23
20-20
15-13
15-16
18-13
20-26
17-13
28-29
17-21
22-16
17-11
24-15
19-12
22-18
13-14
15-22
22-18
13-22
18-16
26-12
26-15
20-15
14-20
22-24
18-15
8-15
18-15
20-17
4-18
150.5Avg total
76.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.076.5155.5+2.560%
Season at home (12)78.671.8150.3+6.867%
Season away (13)79.480.8160.2-1.554%
Last 10 (10)76.174.4150.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)77.470.2147.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.2154.3-8.017%
vs Similar (16)74.373.6147.9+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.980.8169.6+8.175%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 66
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 66
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 66
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 66
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 66
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 66
H31/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
153.3Avg total
74.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.180.6157.8-3.544%
Season at home (13)76.981.3158.2-4.446%
Season away (12)77.379.9157.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)74.279.1153.3-4.950%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.582.5156.9-8.031%
vs Similar (10)80.779.5160.2+1.260%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Sebastiani RietiMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A01/02
Serie A2
70.1Avg total
34.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.375.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.436.572.9-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.939.977.8-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.335.870.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.465.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.375.2-5.533%-
vs Similar (16)37.237.274.4+0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.939.077.9-0.150%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
38.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.241.280.5-2.048%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.841.681.5-1.854%-
Last 30 away (12)38.640.879.4-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.077.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.242.580.8-4.338%-
vs Similar (10)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.7
33.0%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
74.4%13.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.4
43.2%
50.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
74.4%13.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWWLWLWL
Mestre
WLWLLLLWWW
#10
League position
#15
+0.4
Net rating
-2.9
96.4
Offensive rating
96.9
96.0
Defensive rating
99.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
33.8%
62.4%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 96.9Defence96.0 · 99.7Shooting50.5% · 46.3%3-point %33.0% · 33.8%Ball care18.1% · 13.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Mestre v Sebastiani Rieti94-102
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ABlu Basket Bergamo50-65
25/01/26APistoia86-85 OT
21/01/26HRimini83-65
17/01/26AForli86-82 OT
09/01/26HCividale82-54
04/01/26ACento82-89
28/12/25HFortitudo Bologna68-62
21/12/25APesaro73-91
17/12/25HBrindisi87-76
14/12/25HLibertas Livorno64-75
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HScafati81-80
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game79.078.679.4
Allowed / game76.571.880.8
Point differential+2.5+6.8-1.5
Avg total155.5150.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLLLW46%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game77.176.977.3
Allowed / game80.681.379.9
Point differential-3.5-4.4-2.6
Avg total157.8158.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2619773%82.077.8+4.2
2 Cividale2617965%77.675.9+1.7
3 Libertas Livorno2516964%79.773.2+6.5
4 Brindisi2516964%77.272.3+4.9
5 Rimini2516964%81.377.4+4.0
6 Scafati26161062%82.977.8+5.1
7 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.572.5+4.0
8 Verona25151060%77.273.8+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti25151060%79.076.5+2.5
10 Avellino Basket25141156%80.278.0+2.2
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona25121348%74.877.7-2.9
13 Basket Torino26121446%73.372.7+0.6
14 Mestre25111444%77.180.6-3.5
15 Urania Milano26101638%78.082.0-4.0
16 Forli2591636%77.181.2-4.0
17 Cento2691735%78.480.8-2.4
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2581732%76.486.0-9.6
19 Pistoia2561924%77.282.9-5.7
20 Roseto2642215%78.084.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sebastiani Rieti24201416882
Mestre22151819680
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