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Virginia vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 62-57
21-22 41-35
Position#36
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game59.3
vs
Position#342
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Virginia v Florida State
04 Mar 2025
VIRG60
FLOR57
03 Dec 2022
VIRG62
FLOR57
26 Feb 2022
VIRG63
FLOR64
28 Jan 2020
VIRG61
FLOR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
13-33
0-0
30-30
0-0
27-19
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-24
0-0
29-31
0-0
17-21
0-0
34-31
0-0
38-30
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-21
0-0
47-21
0-0
30-33
0-0
56-46
0-0
29-31
0-0
41-30
0-0
40-22
0-0
32-23
0-0
34-45
0-0
36-23
128.2Avg total
68.5Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.759.3136.0+17.3100%
Season at home (4)76.052.2128.2+23.8100%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)68.559.7128.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)77.459.0136.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.163.9120.0-7.729%
vs Similar (15)68.863.5132.3+5.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)66.756.6123.3+10.186%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
L
57-96
57
96
-39
H09/03
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H15/11
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A24/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-49
31-47
37-44
37-39
29-39
25-29
25-32
47-47
43-26
24-50
42-34
39-38
26-43
37-37
27-21
33-49
26-33
32-42
32-34
37-45
143.3Avg total
65.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.475.8142.2-9.311%
Season at home (5)72.677.8150.4-5.220%
Season away (4)58.873.2132.0-14.50%
Last 10 (10)65.577.8143.3-12.310%
Last 5 (5)66.275.2141.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.876.0143.8-8.230%
vs Similar (9)72.275.1147.3-2.967%
vs Weaker (1)51.056.0107.0-5.00%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -8.1-8.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -8.1-8.1
VirginiaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
L
13-33
13
33
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/11
NCAA
57.5Avg total
29.6Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.028.458.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.325.355.6+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)29.631.961.5-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)29.627.957.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.465.4+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.728.354.0-2.657%-
vs Similar (15)31.130.961.9+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)32.324.656.9+7.771%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/03
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H08/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H15/11
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A24/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.870.0-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.835.570.3-0.731%-
Last 30 away (14)31.438.469.7-7.021%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.566.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.063.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.036.768.8-4.720%-
vs Similar (9)37.238.976.1-1.744%-
vs Weaker (1)20.021.041.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virginia wins
3
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
26/02/22Virginia v Florida State63-64
16/02/21Florida State v Virginia81-60
29/01/20Virginia v Florida State61-56
16/01/20Florida State v Virginia54-50
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22AMichigan70-68
25/11/22HMd.-East. Shore72-45
20/11/22HIllinois70-61
19/11/22ABaylor86-79
12/11/22HMonmouth89-42
08/11/22HN. Carolina Central73-61
22/03/22HSt. Bonaventure51-52
20/03/22ANorth Texas71-69 OT
16/03/22HMississippi St.60-57
11/03/22ANorth Carolina43-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HPurdue69-79
28/11/22ANebraska58-75
25/11/22AStanford60-70
24/11/22ASiena63-80
21/11/22HMercer81-72
19/11/22HFlorida67-76
15/11/22HTroy72-79
12/11/22AUCF Knights54-68
08/11/22HStetson74-83
09/03/22HSyracuse57-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.776.078.0
Allowed / game59.352.273.5
Point differential+17.3+23.8+4.5
Avg total136.0128.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game66.472.658.8
Allowed / game75.877.873.2
Point differential-9.3-5.2-14.5
Avg total142.2150.4132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia660100%76.759.3+17.3
2 Virginia Tech87188%76.864.2+12.5
3 NC State97278%80.465.7+14.8
4 Duke97278%71.958.7+13.2
5 Clemson97278%75.965.6+10.3
6 Wake Forest97278%78.670.1+8.4
7 Notre Dame86275%72.466.9+5.5
8 Pittsburgh96367%72.766.4+6.2
9 Georgia Tech85362%71.265.9+5.4
10 North Carolina85362%80.475.4+5.0
11 Miami (FL)1610662%73.970.4+3.5
12 Boston College85362%64.665.4-0.8
13 Syracuse84450%69.469.2+0.1
14 SMU Mustangs73443%66.967.7-0.9
15 Stanford83538%66.565.4+1.1
16 Florida State91811%66.475.8-9.3
17 California8080%57.565.9-8.4
18 Louisville7070%58.073.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia214162
Florida State223557
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