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Miami (FL) vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-82
29-40 42-42
Position#344
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#230
Record9-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.9
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Virginia
16 Jan 2027
MIAM v VIRG
upcoming
29 Jan 2025
MIAM71
VIRG82
20 Dec 2022
MIAM66
VIRG64
19 Feb 2022
MIAM71
VIRG74
04 Mar 2020
MIAM44
VIRG46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#253
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
74-117
74
117
-43
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-33
45-42
38-28
28-38
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
25-39
40-41
31-39
47-49
26-50
28-39
26-60
48-57
21-37
30-51
39-47
40-32
161.4Avg total
73.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.780.6156.2-4.920%
Season at home (11)80.578.3158.8+2.336%
Season away (9)69.783.4153.1-13.80%
Last 10 (10)73.787.7161.4-14.010%
Last 5 (5)70.296.0166.2-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.280.7152.9-8.516%
vs Similar (9)68.778.1146.8-9.40%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.050%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-21
32-43
32-28
31-30
29-39
41-28
27-32
23-38
32-35
29-40
30-40
35-48
25-27
27-27
28-39
39-42
41-23
33-33
27-39
32-35
131.0Avg total
62.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)61.964.5126.3-2.645%
Season at home (13)62.559.3121.8+3.262%
Season away (7)60.774.0134.7-13.314%
Last 10 (10)62.368.7131.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)63.470.6134.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)55.967.6123.5-11.819%
vs Similar (12)64.262.8127.0+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)67.051.0118.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -4.2-4.2
Miami (FL)Virginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#253
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-60
26
60
-34
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
33.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.271.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.335.572.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)30.838.969.7-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)33.540.273.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)28.646.675.2-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.337.670.8-4.332%-
vs Similar (9)33.137.770.8-4.622%-
vs Weaker (2)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H25/01
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.929.757.6-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (20)28.628.156.7+0.640%-
Last 30 away (10)26.633.059.6-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)30.132.362.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.663.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)26.030.756.7-4.719%-
vs Similar (12)29.330.059.3-0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.020.055.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami (FL) wins
5
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Virginia v Miami (FL)60-38
21/12/22Miami (FL) v Virginia66-64
19/02/22Miami (FL) v Virginia71-74
05/02/22Virginia v Miami (FL)71-58
01/03/21Virginia v Miami (FL)62-51
05/03/20Miami (FL) v Virginia44-46
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ACalifornia94-98 OT
23/01/25AStanford51-88
18/01/25HSMU Mustangs74-117
15/01/25ADuke54-89
11/01/25HWake Forest78-88
09/01/25HFlorida State65-80
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78
21/12/24HMount St. Mary's74-78 OT
15/12/24HPresbyterian94-75
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HNotre Dame59-74
22/01/25HBoston College74-56
18/01/25ALouisville67-81
16/01/25HSMU Mustangs52-54
11/01/25AStanford65-88
09/01/25ACalifornia61-75
04/01/25HLouisville50-70
31/12/24HNC State70-67
22/12/24HAmerican University63-58
19/12/24HMemphis62-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %20%36%0%
Points / game75.780.569.7
Allowed / game80.678.383.4
Point differential-5.0+2.3-13.8
Avg total156.2158.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%9%11%
Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %45%62%14%
Points / game61.962.560.7
Allowed / game64.559.374.0
Point differential-2.6+3.2-13.3
Avg total126.3121.8134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2018290%80.059.5+20.4
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 Louisville2116576%79.069.2+9.8
4 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
5 Wake Forest2115671%69.465.9+3.6
6 Pittsburgh2014670%79.870.7+9.2
7 Stanford2014670%77.070.2+6.8
8 Florida State2013765%77.870.9+6.9
9 North Carolina2213959%81.776.2+5.5
10 California2011955%76.275.5+0.7
11 Notre Dame20101050%74.770.4+4.2
12 NC State2091145%70.267.2+3.0
13 Virginia2091145%61.964.5-2.6
14 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
15 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
16 Georgia Tech2191243%74.473.3+1.0
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)2041620%75.780.6-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)294271
Virginia404282
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