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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-113
25-20 30-31 28-31 32-31
Position#17
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game125.3
Allowed / game122.2
vs
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game122.1
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Miami Heat v New York Knicks
12 Dec 2026
MIA v NYK
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
MIA115
NYK113
26 Oct 2025
MIA115
NYK107
02 Mar 2025
MIA112
NYK116
30 Oct 2024
MIA107
NYK116
02 Apr 2024
MIA109
NYK99
12 May 2023
MIA96
NYK92
08 May 2023
MIA109
NYK101
06 May 2023
MIA105
NYK86
22 Mar 2023
MIA127
NYK120
03 Mar 2023
MIA120
NYK122
25 Mar 2022
MIA103
NYK111
26 Jan 2022
MIA110
NYK96
09 Feb 2021
MIA98
NYK96
13 Mar 2020
MIA v NYK
upcoming
20 Dec 2019
MIA129
NYK114
24 Oct 2018
MIA110
NYK87
21 Mar 2018
MIA119
NYK98
05 Jan 2018
MIA107
NYK103
31 Mar 2017
MIA94
NYK98
06 Dec 2016
MIA103
NYK114
06 Jan 2016
MIA90
NYK98
23 Nov 2015
MIA95
NYK78
09 Feb 2015
MIA109
NYK95
06 Apr 2014
MIA102
NYK91
27 Feb 2014
MIA108
NYK82
02 Apr 2013
MIA90
NYK102
06 Dec 2012
MIA92
NYK112
09 May 2012
MIA106
NYK94
30 Apr 2012
MIA104
NYK94
28 Apr 2012
MIA100
NYK67
23 Feb 2012
MIA102
NYK88
27 Jan 2012
MIA99
NYK89
27 Feb 2011
MIA86
NYK91
28 Dec 2010
MIA106
NYK98
28 Oct 2009
MIA115
NYK93
12 Apr 2009
MIA122
NYK105
28 Feb 2009
MIA120
NYK115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New York Knicks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
144-117
144
117
+27
139avg 104
H28/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-107
101
107
-6
93avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
120-130
120
130
-10
115avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
120-119
120
119
+1
119avg 104
A04/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-122
112
122
-10
103avg 104
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
126-108
126
108
+18
116avg 104
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
136-131
136
131
+5
135avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
140-138 OT
140
138
+2
138avg 104
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-130
116
130
-14
110avg 104
H13/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
132-140
132
140
-8
124avg 104
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-34
39-26
29-28
39-29
31-33
27-26
14-28
29-20
36-43
27-34
35-25
22-28
32-30
34-41
37-24
17-24
33-36
27-32
26-33
26-21
53-33
19-36
22-19
32-20
27-30
45-35
28-32
36-34
25-30
37-23
39-39
27-36
38-29
31-37
28-27
19-37
35-32
33-46
36-32
28-30
248.9Avg total
124.7Scored
124.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)125.3122.2247.5+3.254%
Season at home (6)129.5121.8251.3+7.783%
Season away (7)121.7122.4244.1-0.729%
Last 10 (10)124.7124.2248.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)130.0129.4259.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)106.9119.0225.9-12.122%
vs Similar (14)119.7119.1238.8+0.650%
vs Weaker (7)118.497.7216.1+20.786%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 106
A26/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
111-121
111
121
-10
100avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
125-135
125
135
-10
115avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
128-116
128
116
+12
124avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-102
119
102
+17
116avg 106
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
137-114
137
114
+23
135avg 106
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
134-98
134
98
+36
134avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
107-124
107
124
-17
92avg 106
H13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
140-132
140
132
+8
132avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
27-33
27-31
26-27
26-27
45-32
20-35
20-27
27-35
26-37
38-28
34-35
34-24
34-36
37-29
23-27
22-30
35-24
41-24
21-24
28-26
26-32
40-28
43-28
40-22
37-40
35-17
22-19
42-30
35-24
37-39
19-27
23-30
19-32
31-29
34-33
32-35
46-33
32-36
30-28
241.8Avg total
124.1Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)122.1115.2237.3+6.867%
Season at home (9)124.7112.4237.1+12.289%
Season away (3)114.3123.7238.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)124.1117.7241.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)130.2117.6247.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.7105.2210.8+0.567%
vs Similar (13)111.0110.5221.5+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)123.6117.1240.7+6.564%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Miami HeatNew York Knicks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H28/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A04/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H09/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H13/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A15/11
NBA
133.2Avg total
66.6Scored
66.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.158.2117.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.857.6113.4-1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)62.058.7120.7+3.344%-
Last 10 (10)66.666.6133.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)68.666.2134.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)52.461.0113.4-8.633%-
vs Similar (14)63.261.7124.9+1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)59.447.4106.9+12.086%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A26/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A01/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H09/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H15/11
NBA
123.7Avg total
63.1Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.6114.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.855.4115.2+4.472%-
Last 30 away (12)55.158.3113.4-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)63.160.6123.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)65.660.8126.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.056.7107.7-5.717%-
vs Similar (13)56.553.9110.5+2.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)63.359.6122.9+3.664%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 124.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.931.4
56.2%
54.8%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.8
38.1%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws25.620.5
80.1%
78.1%20.5
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 124.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.5
54.3%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.517.1
38.4%
35.8%51.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.8
82.4%
78.1%17.8
They take 95.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWWLWLLW
New York Knicks
WLWWWWWLLL
#17
League position
#4
+0.5
Net rating
+6.3
114.9
Offensive rating
121.3
114.5
Defensive rating
115.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.1%
3-point %
38.4%
68.6%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 121.3Defence114.5 · 115.0Shooting56.6% · 55.9%3-point %38.1% · 38.4%Ball care12.7% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ New York Knicks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
New York Knicks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ANew York Knicks132-140
13/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers116-130
11/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers140-138 OT
09/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers136-131
08/11/25HCharlotte Hornets126-108
06/11/25ADenver Nuggets112-122
04/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers120-119
03/11/25ALos Angeles Lakers120-130
31/10/25ASan Antonio Spurs101-107
28/10/25HCharlotte Hornets144-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMiami Heat140-132
13/11/25HOrlando Magic107-124
12/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies133-120
09/11/25HBrooklyn Nets134-98
06/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves137-114
04/11/25HWashington Wizards119-102
03/11/25HChicago Bulls128-116
01/11/25AChicago Bulls125-135
29/10/25AMilwaukee Bucks111-121
26/10/25AMiami Heat107-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game125.3129.5121.7
Allowed / game122.2121.8122.4
Point differential+3.2+7.7-0.7
Avg total247.5251.3244.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
New York Knicks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %67%89%0%
Points / game122.1124.7114.3
Allowed / game115.2112.4123.7
Point differential+6.8+12.2-9.3
Avg total237.3237.1238.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1413193%121.6106.2+15.4
2 Detroit Pistons1412286%118.8112.1+6.6
3 Denver Nuggets1210283%124.4111.2+13.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%124.8113.2+11.5
5 Los Angeles Lakers1410471%116.3114.4+1.9
6 San Antonio Spurs139469%118.8112.1+6.7
7 New York Knicks128467%122.1115.2+6.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers1510567%120.9116.2+4.7
9 Atlanta Hawks149564%117.6114.0+3.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves138562%120.7115.8+4.8
11 Toronto Raptors138562%120.5115.7+4.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers138562%118.5115.9+2.6
13 Golden State Warriors159660%115.7114.0+1.7
14 Phoenix Suns148657%118.8114.4+4.4
15 Miami Heat137654%125.3122.2+3.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks158753%117.6118.7-1.1
17 Boston Celtics147750%113.8109.2+4.6
18 Orlando Magic147750%115.5114.0+1.5
19 Chicago Bulls126650%121.0121.5-0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers136746%121.5122.2-0.6
21 Utah Jazz135838%118.9123.7-4.8
22 Charlotte Hornets134931%117.2120.5-3.3
23 Los Angeles Clippers1441029%111.7116.3-4.6
24 Dallas Mavericks1441029%111.3117.0-5.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies1441029%111.9119.8-7.9
26 Sacramento Kings1431121%112.9124.4-11.4
27 Brooklyn Nets1321115%110.5121.9-11.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans1321115%108.2121.5-13.3
29 Washington Wizards131128%112.9129.6-16.7
30 Indiana Pacers141137%108.9123.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat25302832115
New York Knicks20313131113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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