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Miami (Ohio) vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-80
45-30 47-50
Position#41
Record18-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#167
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Toledo
03 Mar 2026
MIAM74
TOLE72
11 Feb 2025
MIAM92
TOLE80
05 Mar 2024
MIAM63
TOLE97
11 Jan 2022
MIAM72
TOLE75
26 Jan 2021
MIAM81
TOLE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A08/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
42-39
54-23
37-48
48-42
36-27
32-41
38-20
39-40
45-36
28-52
47-50
47-38
42-42
35-26
38-43
37-34
39-36
32-29
37-33
152.3Avg total
79.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.472.3153.8+9.178%
Season at home (12)89.671.0160.6+18.692%
Season away (11)72.573.8146.4-1.364%
Last 10 (10)79.173.2152.3+5.990%
Last 5 (5)76.476.6153.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.073.5134.5-12.50%
vs Similar (7)69.676.7146.3-7.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.669.3150.9+12.281%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
42-30
36-55
44-40
49-35
30-44
34-39
43-38
41-33
47-39
39-44
50-35
39-50
42-32
45-42
38-41
34-28
159.1Avg total
81.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.877.5156.3+1.365%
Season at home (12)79.276.2155.3+3.075%
Season away (11)78.579.0157.5-0.555%
Last 10 (10)81.277.9159.1+3.380%
Last 5 (5)83.676.4160.0+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.780.4152.1-8.842%
vs Similar (11)78.573.3151.7+5.273%
vs Weaker (7)89.972.4162.3+17.486%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.1-2.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.1-2.1
Miami (Ohio)Toledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
39.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.072.3+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.532.876.3+10.780%-
Last 30 away (15)33.135.168.3-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.874.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.871.6+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.031.562.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (7)29.939.969.7-10.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.832.274.0+9.676%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/02
NCAA
77.8Avg total
41.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.572.5+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.432.469.8+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.636.975.6+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.277.8+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.638.873.3-4.233%-
vs Similar (11)37.831.869.6+6.073%-
vs Weaker (7)44.031.675.6+12.4100%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
7
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Miami (Ohio) v Toledo63-97
06/01/24Toledo v Miami (Ohio)68-64
26/02/22Toledo v Miami (Ohio)88-73
12/01/22Miami (Ohio) v Toledo72-75
17/02/21Toledo v Miami (Ohio)87-75
27/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Toledo81-90
12/02/20Toledo v Miami (Ohio)65-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HTroy69-62
05/02/25ACentral Michigan76-70
01/02/25HOhio73-69
29/01/25HEastern Michigan89-80
25/01/25AAkron75-102
22/01/25HBowling Green84-76
18/01/25AKent State70-61
15/01/25ANorthern Illinois84-69
11/01/25HWestern Michigan91-71
08/01/25ABall State80-72
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HJames Madison72-69
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
01/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-85
29/01/25AOhio86-83
24/01/25ABowling Green84-71
22/01/25HKent State64-83
18/01/25ABall State93-75
15/01/25AAkron78-85
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game81.489.672.5
Allowed / game72.371.073.8
Point differential+9.1+18.6-1.3
Avg total153.8160.6146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game78.879.278.5
Allowed / game77.576.279.0
Point differential+1.3+3.0-0.5
Avg total156.3155.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2318578%83.772.6+11.2
2 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
3 Kent State2315865%70.364.9+5.4
4 Toledo2315865%78.877.5+1.3
5 Ohio23121152%79.675.0+4.6
6 Central Michigan23111248%74.470.3+4.1
7 Ball State23111248%76.074.1+1.9
8 Eastern Michigan23111248%72.377.1-4.8
9 UMass24111346%75.874.2+1.5
10 Bowling Green2391439%75.175.3-0.2
11 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
12 Buffalo2371630%72.681.8-9.3
13 Northern Illinois2351822%71.376.3-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)454792
Toledo305080
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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