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Miami (Ohio) vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-97
24-54 39-43
Position#228
Record15-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game68.8
Miami (Ohio)
USA
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record18-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Toledo
03 Mar 2026
MIAM74
TOLE72
11 Feb 2025
MIAM92
TOLE80
05 Mar 2024
MIAM63
TOLE97
11 Jan 2022
MIAM72
TOLE75
26 Jan 2021
MIAM81
TOLE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H24/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
29-36
39-24
32-43
32-39
37-39
31-30
28-32
25-35
28-38
30-29
50-30
33-38
25-39
46-24
42-36
25-28
41-30
22-17
30-20
130.5Avg total
66.6Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.868.8140.5+3.054%
Season at home (13)77.264.0141.2+13.269%
Season away (15)67.172.9140.0-5.740%
Last 10 (10)66.663.9130.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)68.858.2127.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.779.3151.0-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.672.1141.7-2.550%
vs Weaker (12)74.761.0135.7+13.767%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
57-41
48-27
40-36
36-47
34-30
42-37
49-50
47-46
43-44
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
160.8Avg total
82.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.977.1157.0+2.962%
Season at home (16)79.775.2154.9+4.469%
Season away (13)80.279.3159.5+0.954%
Last 10 (10)82.378.5160.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)76.475.4151.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.688.0166.6-9.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.474.9153.4+3.579%
vs Weaker (10)82.774.6157.3+8.170%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
Miami (Ohio)Toledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H24/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A02/03
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.4Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.766.9+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.830.969.6+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)30.234.264.5-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)32.429.662.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.227.258.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.337.371.7-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.633.064.6-1.458%-
vs Weaker (12)36.830.066.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.174.1-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.836.373.1+0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)37.337.975.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.474.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.269.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.037.073.0-1.036%-
vs Weaker (10)39.034.573.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
6
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Toledo v Miami (Ohio)68-64
26/02/22Toledo v Miami (Ohio)88-73
12/01/22Miami (Ohio) v Toledo72-75
17/02/21Toledo v Miami (Ohio)87-75
27/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Toledo81-90
12/02/20Toledo v Miami (Ohio)65-57
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AEastern Michigan52-37
28/02/24ABowling Green66-58
24/02/24HCentral Michigan88-60
21/02/24AWestern Michigan58-77
17/02/24HBall State80-59
10/02/24AGeorgia State53-73
07/02/24HNorthern Illinois59-62
03/02/24AOhio69-78
31/01/24AKent State71-67
27/01/24HAkron70-68
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
10/02/24AAppalachian State104-109 OT
07/02/24AEastern Michigan91-87
03/02/24AAkron70-77
31/01/24HWestern Michigan88-63
27/01/24HBowling Green88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%69%40%
Points / game71.877.267.1
Allowed / game68.864.072.9
Point differential+3.0+13.2-5.7
Avg total140.5141.2140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%54%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game79.979.780.2
Allowed / game77.175.279.3
Point differential+2.9+4.4+0.9
Avg total157.0154.9159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)71% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2921872%74.965.6+9.3
2 UMass29191066%78.570.9+7.6
3 Toledo29181162%79.977.1+2.9
4 Ohio29171259%77.871.2+6.7
5 Bowling Green29171259%74.171.5+2.6
6 Central Michigan29161355%66.870.7-3.9
7 Miami (Ohio)28151354%71.868.8+3.0
8 Kent State29151452%76.071.8+4.2
9 Ball State29141548%73.670.7+2.9
10 Eastern Michigan29121741%66.373.3-7.0
11 Western Michigan29111838%71.474.4-3.0
12 Northern Illinois29101934%73.478.0-4.6
13 Buffalo2942514%68.179.8-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)243963
Toledo544397
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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