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Miami (Ohio) vs Wright State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#76
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#41
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Wright State
22 Dec 2026
MIAM v WRIG
upcoming
09 Nov 2024
MIAM68
WRIG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wright State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-22
31-42
26-30
43-37
40-35
34-37
54-48
46-52
39-37
44-50
43-34
46-45
32-51
24-27
35-41
51-36
36-31
44-42
43-45
43-33
159.0Avg total
80.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)86.077.5163.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.778.3159.0+2.480%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (29)88.077.5165.6+10.593%
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
43-44
35-53
57-38
37-32
53-29
46-44
57-46
26-29
40-34
43-38
30-44
60-31
42-40
47-28
50-43
36-31
40-37
40-34
50-32
159.6Avg total
86.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.269.0160.2+22.2100%
Season at home (2)99.571.0170.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.373.3159.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)87.671.6159.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.582.5157.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)81.279.0160.2+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.272.5156.6+11.789%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +7.5+7.5
Miami (Ohio)Wright State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
39.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.135.878.9+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.836.380.1+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)42.635.477.9+7.276%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.476.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (29)43.435.879.2+7.779%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.335.776.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.634.373.9+5.385%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.674.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.477.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.080.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (9)37.838.075.8-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.233.074.2+8.284%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami (Ohio) wins
4
Wright State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AEvansville86-78
07/11/26HBellarmine80-73
03/11/26AJames Madison86-77
20/03/26ATennessee56-78
19/03/26ASMU Mustangs89-79
12/03/26HUMass83-87
07/03/26AOhio110-108 OT
04/03/26HToledo74-72
27/02/26AWestern Michigan69-67
24/02/26AEastern Michigan74-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASamford90-66
11/11/26AToledo76-68
07/11/26HFlorida Atlantic97-71
03/11/26HAir Force102-71
20/03/26AVirginia73-82
10/03/26HDetroit66-63
09/03/26HNorthern Kentucky103-90
05/03/26HCleveland State90-61
01/03/26ANorthern Kentucky92-91
26/02/26AIPFW74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.080.086.0
Allowed / game76.073.077.5
Point differential+8.0+7.0+8.5
Avg total160.0153.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wright State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.299.583.0
Allowed / game69.071.067.0
Point differential+22.2+28.5+16.0
Avg total160.2170.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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