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Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#159
Record8-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#220
Record8-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Indiana
13 Jan 2026
MICH81
INDI60
11 Feb 2025
MICH67
INDI71
21 Feb 2023
MICH80
INDI65
12 Feb 2022
MICH76
INDI61
02 Mar 2021
MICH64
INDI58
17 Jan 2021
MICH v INDI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
38-36
35-35
48-41
39-35
40-26
44-40
65-51
30-43
35-36
42-42
34-43
16-36
40-45
40-33
44-44
28-22
40-23
31-16
23-39
146.8Avg total
74.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.071.3147.3+4.767%
Season at home (8)79.068.8147.8+10.275%
Season away (4)70.076.5146.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)74.971.9146.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)67.668.6136.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.071.2143.2+0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.369.0143.3+5.373%
vs Weaker (15)73.165.5138.7+7.667%
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
A10/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#259
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H24/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A26/12
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
31-29
40-24
47-28
32-37
36-23
28-37
39-37
27-29
33-40
38-33
42-47
21-27
42-28
24-29
37-32
46-34
38-42
36-40
33-41
142.6Avg total
72.5Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.667.6140.2+4.957%
Season at home (8)71.866.5138.2+5.262%
Season away (6)73.769.2142.8+4.550%
Last 10 (10)72.570.1142.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.275.4150.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.869.8135.6-3.931%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.965.2133.2+2.750%
vs Weaker (5)82.466.6149.0+15.8100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
Michigan StateIndiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H09/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.466.3+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.431.167.4+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.264.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.567.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.861.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.231.567.8+4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.030.264.2+3.873%-
vs Weaker (15)33.334.367.5-1.053%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A10/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#259
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H24/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A26/12
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
21-27
21
27
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.864.7+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.531.966.4+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)31.031.662.6-0.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.364.6+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.665.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.733.564.2-2.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.029.560.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (5)43.033.076.0+10.080%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
1
Indiana wins
DateGameScore
24/01/20Indiana v Michigan State67-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21HPurdue54-55
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
03/01/21ANebraska84-77
29/12/20AMinnesota56-81
25/12/20HWisconsin76-85
21/12/20ANorthwestern65-79
13/12/20HOakland109-91
06/12/20HWestern Michigan79-61
04/12/20HDetroit83-76
02/12/20ADuke75-69
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21HPurdue69-81
10/01/21ANebraska84-76
08/01/21AWisconsin73-80 OT
05/01/21HMaryland63-55
31/12/20HPenn State87-85 OT
26/12/20AIllinois60-69
24/12/20HNorthwestern67-74
19/12/20HButler68-60
13/12/20HNorth Alabama87-52
10/12/20AFlorida State67-69 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game76.079.070.0
Allowed / game71.368.876.5
Point differential+4.7+10.2-6.5
Avg total147.3147.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game72.671.873.7
Allowed / game67.666.569.2
Point differential+4.9+5.2+4.5
Avg total140.2138.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %21%12%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1211192%79.966.6+13.3
2 Iowa1311285%91.973.2+18.7
3 USC1311285%78.364.9+13.4
4 UCLA1311285%77.868.6+9.2
5 Oregon119282%77.165.8+11.3
6 Wisconsin1411379%73.762.1+11.6
7 Ohio State1411379%77.667.7+9.9
8 Minnesota1511473%78.873.0+5.8
9 Michigan State128467%76.071.3+4.7
10 Illinois149564%83.169.1+14.0
11 Purdue149564%71.166.4+4.6
12 Rutgers127558%73.970.9+3.0
13 Maryland148657%73.767.4+6.4
14 Indiana148657%72.667.6+4.9
15 Northwestern116555%78.470.0+8.4
16 Penn State73443%78.476.3+2.1
17 Nebraska124833%75.074.3+0.7
18 Washington121118%64.876.9-12.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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