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Michigan State vs Indiana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-71
29-32 38-39
Position#17
Record19-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Indiana 🏆
USA
Position#132
Record14-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Indiana
13 Jan 2026
MICH81
INDI60
11 Feb 2025
MICH67
INDI71
21 Feb 2023
MICH80
INDI65
12 Feb 2022
MICH76
INDI61
02 Mar 2021
MICH64
INDI58
17 Jan 2021
MICH v INDI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
35-32
46-42
36-16
37-35
32-35
32-35
28-35
33-28
36-50
50-24
144.9Avg total
77.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.867.4147.3+12.483%
Season at home (16)81.265.7146.9+15.588%
Season away (7)76.771.4148.1+5.371%
Last 10 (10)77.067.9144.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)73.066.4139.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (6)70.563.8134.3+6.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.866.7146.5+13.181%
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
USC
#215
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
69-94
69
94
-25
H15/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
48-42
38-38
44-31
33-43
27-42
32-60
37-34
29-35
42-36
31-25
39-54
37-38
41-41
41-37
35-44
28-40
36-36
27-43
40-27
150.0Avg total
72.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.173.5149.6+2.758%
Season at home (15)78.269.9148.1+8.373%
Season away (9)72.779.4152.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)72.078.0150.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)71.077.0148.0-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.774.6146.3-2.953%
vs Similar (12)76.072.8148.8+3.267%
vs Weaker (3)86.364.3150.7+22.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
Michigan StateIndiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
37.5Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.467.2+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.530.667.1+5.961%-
Last 30 away (12)34.832.867.5+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.068.5+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.667.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (6)30.830.361.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.930.968.8+7.071%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/01
NCAA
USC
#215
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H15/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
32.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.572.4-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.335.172.4+2.267%-
Last 30 away (12)33.838.572.2-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)32.538.871.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.669.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.039.174.1-4.153%-
vs Similar (12)35.833.969.7+1.850%-
vs Weaker (3)41.033.374.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
3
Indiana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HOregon86-74
05/02/25AUCLA61-63
01/02/25AUSC64-70
29/01/25HMinnesota73-51
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HMichigan67-70
05/02/25AWisconsin64-76
01/02/25APurdue76-81
26/01/25HMaryland78-79
23/01/25ANorthwestern70-79
18/01/25AOhio State77-76 OT
15/01/25HIllinois69-94
12/01/25AIowa60-85
09/01/25HUSC82-69
05/01/25APenn State77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %83%88%71%
Points / game79.881.276.7
Allowed / game67.465.771.4
Point differential+12.4+15.5+5.3
Avg total147.3146.9148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%14%
Indiana
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL58%
HomeWWLLL73%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %58%73%33%
Points / game76.178.272.7
Allowed / game73.569.979.4
Point differential+2.7+8.3-6.8
Avg total149.6148.1152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2319483%79.867.4+12.4
2 Wisconsin2419579%81.069.9+11.0
3 Michigan2419579%81.470.5+10.9
4 Purdue2519676%78.568.9+9.6
5 Maryland2418675%82.866.5+16.3
6 UCLA2518772%75.664.6+11.0
7 Illinois2517868%85.171.3+13.8
8 Nebraska2416867%76.271.2+5.0
9 Oregon2416867%76.372.0+4.3
10 Ohio State24141058%79.371.7+7.6
11 Indiana24141058%76.173.5+2.7
12 Iowa23131057%84.578.8+5.7
13 USC23131057%76.473.3+3.0
14 Penn State24131154%80.272.7+7.5
15 Northwestern24131154%73.970.1+3.8
16 Rutgers24121250%76.475.2+1.2
17 Minnesota24121250%69.069.8-0.7
18 Washington22111150%71.672.7-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State293867
Indiana323971
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