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Michigan State vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 63-54
31-27 32-27
Position#154
Record13-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#215
Record13-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Maryland
24 Jan 2026
MICH91
MARY48
03 Feb 2024
MICH63
MARY54
07 Feb 2023
MICH63
MARY58
10 Mar 2022
MICH76
MARY72
06 Mar 2022
MICH77
MARY67
15 Feb 2020
MICH60
MARY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
34-37
34-34
28-22
45-33
37-32
39-34
44-32
17-27
34-43
32-38
33-35
48-27
145.0Avg total
77.7Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.065.8141.8+10.162%
Season at home (16)78.562.9141.4+15.675%
Season away (5)67.875.2143.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)77.767.3145.0+10.470%
Last 5 (5)71.464.6136.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.072.4145.4+0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.274.1149.2+1.147%
vs Weaker (8)83.256.9140.1+26.4100%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
26-32
38-18
37-35
19-32
34-35
29-22
33-43
21-33
43-24
37-39
39-28
28-32
41-40
32-44
27-17
28-34
41-33
44-27
29-24
128.9Avg total
66.9Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.363.4133.7+6.962%
Season at home (13)75.062.5137.5+12.577%
Season away (8)62.664.9127.5-2.238%
Last 10 (10)66.962.0128.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)69.263.6132.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.069.0129.0-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)67.764.8132.4+2.950%
vs Weaker (9)75.761.9137.6+13.878%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
Michigan StateMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
38.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.465.9+5.257%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.726.962.6+8.865%-
Last 30 away (10)35.237.372.5-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.431.970.3+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.868.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.066.0-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.433.468.7+2.053%-
vs Weaker (8)38.121.859.9+16.475%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A23/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
31.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.163.3+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.129.265.2+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)29.531.260.7-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)31.930.962.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.333.059.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.130.263.3+2.861%-
vs Weaker (9)35.828.864.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan State wins
3
Maryland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HMichigan81-62
27/01/24AWisconsin66-81
21/01/24AMaryland61-59
18/01/24HMinnesota76-66
14/01/24HRutgers73-55
12/01/24AIllinois68-71
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HNebraska73-51
25/01/24AIowa69-67
21/01/24HMichigan State59-61
18/01/24ANorthwestern69-72
14/01/24AIllinois76-67
12/01/24HMichigan64-57
07/01/24AMinnesota62-65
03/01/24HPurdue53-67
29/12/23HCoppin State75-53
23/12/23AUCLA69-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21165
Win %62%75%20%
Points / game76.078.567.8
Allowed / game65.862.975.2
Point differential+10.1+15.6-7.4
Avg total141.8141.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%6%0%
Maryland
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLWLW77%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %62%77%38%
Points / game70.375.062.6
Allowed / game63.462.564.9
Point differential+6.9+12.5-2.2
Avg total133.7137.5127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%54%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2220291%85.870.0+15.8
2 Illinois2116576%82.369.0+13.4
3 Wisconsin2116576%75.867.5+8.3
4 Nebraska2216673%77.470.2+7.1
5 Oregon2115671%78.272.7+5.5
6 Northwestern2215768%75.070.1+4.9
7 Minnesota2114767%76.568.2+8.3
8 Michigan State2113862%76.065.8+10.1
9 Maryland2113862%70.363.4+6.9
10 Iowa2213959%84.277.3+6.9
11 Ohio State2213959%75.269.5+5.7
12 Indiana2213959%73.574.3-0.8
13 Washington2112957%81.176.7+4.4
14 Rutgers21111052%66.966.0+1.0
15 Penn State22111150%76.073.3+2.7
16 UCLA21101148%65.563.8+1.7
17 USC2181338%74.274.9-0.7
18 Michigan2271532%77.078.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State313263
Maryland272754
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