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Maryland vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-55
35-25 38-30
Position#150
Record14-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#159
Record13-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Maryland v Michigan State
09 Dec 2026
MARY v MICH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
MARY55
MICH58
21 Jan 2024
MARY59
MICH61
01 Feb 2022
MARY63
MICH65
11 Mar 2021
MARY68
MICH57
28 Feb 2021
MARY73
MICH55
29 Feb 2020
MARY66
MICH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A23/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-42
38-45
36-27
27-22
20-38
35-23
24-27
37-33
23-23
27-32
30-35
35-38
44-28
28-31
32-28
32-22
40-33
39-38
28-20
40-39
126.4Avg total
64.0Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.765.3135.0+4.458%
Season at home (15)74.465.8140.2+8.667%
Season away (9)61.864.4126.2-2.744%
Last 10 (10)64.062.4126.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)69.662.4132.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.080.2147.2-13.220%
vs Similar (20)68.664.7133.3+3.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.864.8140.5+11.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-26
17-41
30-42
32-37
43-48
35-36
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
26-30
52-41
36-26
45-46
33-38
38-29
137.3Avg total
65.6Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.371.5142.8-0.259%
Season at home (13)74.568.5143.0+5.977%
Season away (9)66.775.8142.4-9.133%
Last 10 (10)65.671.7137.3-6.150%
Last 5 (5)70.674.6145.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.375.0145.3-4.740%
vs Similar (13)68.868.2137.0+0.769%
vs Weaker (7)81.370.1151.4+11.186%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -3.7-3.7
MarylandMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H28/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A21/02
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.2Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.164.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.531.567.0+4.067%-
Last 30 away (12)27.633.060.6-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)30.230.160.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.863.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.241.272.4-10.00%-
vs Similar (20)30.930.661.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.227.865.0+9.5100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.866.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.931.466.4+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)31.434.465.7-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)30.833.264.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.063.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.135.669.7-1.530%-
vs Similar (13)31.228.559.7+2.862%-
vs Weaker (7)35.936.972.7-1.057%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maryland wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/20Maryland v Michigan State66-78
15/02/20Michigan State v Maryland60-67
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21ARutgers68-59
18/02/21HNebraska79-71
17/02/21HNebraska64-50
15/02/21HMinnesota72-59
09/02/21HOhio State65-73
06/02/21APenn State50-55
02/02/21HPurdue61-60
28/01/21HWisconsin55-61
23/01/21AMinnesota63-49
20/01/21AMichigan63-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/21HOhio State71-67
24/02/21HIllinois81-72
20/02/21AIndiana78-71
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
03/02/21AIowa78-84
31/01/21AOhio State62-79
29/01/21ARutgers37-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %58%67%44%
Points / game69.774.461.8
Allowed / game65.365.864.4
Point differential+4.4+8.6-2.7
Avg total135.0140.2126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %59%77%33%
Points / game71.374.566.7
Allowed / game71.568.575.8
Point differential-0.2+5.9-9.1
Avg total142.8143.0142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1918195%78.865.2+13.6
2 Oregon2116576%73.266.4+6.8
3 USC2519676%74.665.0+9.5
4 Illinois2418675%81.269.2+12.0
5 Ohio State2418675%78.069.7+8.4
6 UCLA2317674%73.067.5+5.5
7 Iowa2417771%85.273.0+12.1
8 Purdue2416867%70.965.7+5.2
9 Wisconsin2516964%69.863.2+6.6
10 Rutgers2213959%71.067.8+3.2
11 Michigan State2213959%71.371.5-0.2
12 Maryland24141058%69.765.3+4.4
13 Minnesota25131252%73.773.5+0.2
14 Indiana24121250%71.570.0+1.5
15 Penn State2181338%72.474.2-1.8
16 Northwestern2171433%71.571.3+0.2
17 Nebraska2361726%70.073.9-4.0
18 Washington2552020%66.676.6-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland353873
Michigan State253055
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