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Michigan State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-61
51-26 41-35
Position#154
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game64.5
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#216
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Penn State
26 Jan 2027
MICH v PENN
upcoming
15 Jan 2025
MICH90
PENN85
04 Jan 2024
MICH92
PENN61
11 Dec 2021
MICH80
PENN64
09 Feb 2021
MICH60
PENN58
04 Feb 2020
MICH70
PENN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
142.4Avg total
78.9Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.264.5141.8+12.762%
Season at home (12)77.863.5141.3+14.367%
Season away (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.963.5142.4+15.470%
Last 5 (5)84.666.6151.2+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.269.0137.2-0.833%
vs Similar (16)74.471.0145.4+3.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.055.4139.4+28.6100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#34
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
37-25
32-39
45-50
39-42
39-46
40-46
34-40
33-27
34-49
30-28
41-43
29-41
54-39
37-39
35-33
40-28
32-27
44-24
46-39
152.2Avg total
77.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.570.3147.8+7.254%
Season at home (9)78.163.3141.4+14.878%
Season away (4)76.086.0162.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)77.175.1152.2+2.040%
Last 5 (5)80.272.2152.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.267.2133.5-1.025%
vs Similar (22)75.070.7145.7+4.364%
vs Weaker (4)75.869.0144.8+6.850%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.6+0.6
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.6+0.6
Michigan StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
61.5Avg total
37.3Scored
24.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.428.561.9+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.426.660.9+7.865%-
Last 30 away (10)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.324.261.5+13.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.223.263.4+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.831.861.6-2.044%-
vs Similar (16)33.829.963.8+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.618.256.8+20.480%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#34
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H29/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.766.2+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.630.167.8+7.564%-
Last 30 away (16)31.933.064.9-1.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.070.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.068.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.031.860.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (22)34.831.566.3+3.250%-
vs Weaker (4)39.032.271.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
2
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
07/12/22Penn State v Michigan State58-67
15/02/22Penn State v Michigan State62-58
11/12/21Michigan State v Penn State80-64
10/02/21Michigan State v Penn State60-58
04/03/20Penn State v Michigan State71-79
05/02/20Michigan State v Penn State70-75
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HRider90-63
22/12/23HLe Moyne72-55
16/12/23HGeorgia Tech81-82 OT
09/12/23HOhio State83-80
07/12/23AMaryland75-81 OT
02/12/23HBucknell67-76
26/11/23AVCU Rams74-86
24/11/23AButler78-88
23/11/23ATexas A&M77-89
18/11/23HMorehead State74-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13121
Win %62%67%0%
Points / game77.277.870.0
Allowed / game64.563.577.0
Point differential+12.7+14.3-7.0
Avg total141.8141.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%8%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %54%78%0%
Points / game77.578.176.0
Allowed / game70.363.386.0
Point differential+7.2+14.8-10.0
Avg total147.8141.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1413193%85.467.0+18.4
2 Ohio State1412286%79.165.4+13.6
3 Nebraska1412286%78.265.8+12.4
4 Illinois1311285%83.965.5+18.4
5 Minnesota1310377%80.566.3+14.2
6 Wisconsin1310377%74.865.5+9.4
7 Oregon1310377%78.170.2+7.8
8 Northwestern1310377%72.465.6+6.8
9 Indiana1410471%75.974.3+1.6
10 Maryland149564%71.763.6+8.1
11 Michigan State138562%77.264.5+12.7
12 Washington138562%82.575.9+6.5
13 Rutgers138562%67.862.5+5.3
14 Iowa148657%86.777.8+8.9
15 Penn State137654%77.570.3+7.2
16 USC147750%77.974.7+3.1
17 Michigan136746%83.279.1+4.1
18 UCLA146843%66.161.9+4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State514192
Penn State263561
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