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Michigan State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-66
33-31 42-35
Position#17
Record20-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#72
Record19-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Purdue
30 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
18 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD66
16 Jan 2023
MICH63
PURD64
26 Feb 2022
MICH68
PURD65
08 Jan 2021
MICH54
PURD55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
35-32
46-42
36-16
37-35
32-35
32-35
28-35
33-28
36-50
50-24
29-32
38-39
37-41
42-24
145.8Avg total
75.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.367.5146.8+11.880%
Season at home (17)80.466.0146.4+14.482%
Season away (8)77.070.6147.6+6.475%
Last 10 (10)75.969.9145.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)71.468.6140.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.576.0141.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.866.5141.3+8.383%
vs Weaker (22)79.266.9146.1+12.477%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
104-68
104
68
+36
H12/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A16/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-28
59-40
22-30
47-28
30-31
35-27
41-28
29-45
51-26
40-38
37-41
44-35
36-36
54-45
48-36
42-36
37-35
36-40
37-36
47-58
153.6Avg total
81.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.769.8148.5+8.873%
Season at home (17)82.471.5153.9+10.976%
Season away (9)71.766.8138.4+4.967%
Last 10 (10)81.771.9153.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)83.679.6163.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.370.7147.0+5.760%
vs Weaker (11)79.362.8142.1+16.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
Michigan StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.867.9+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.030.967.9+6.161%-
Last 30 away (12)34.933.067.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.170.3+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.671.0-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.733.066.7+0.733%-
vs Weaker (22)37.531.068.5+6.568%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.368.9+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.832.272.0+7.680%-
Last 30 away (10)30.132.662.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.771.1+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.132.570.7+5.673%-
vs Weaker (11)35.730.566.2+5.373%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
8
Purdue wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AIllinois79-65
12/02/25HIndiana67-71
08/02/25HOregon86-74
05/02/25AUCLA61-63
01/02/25AUSC64-70
29/01/25HMinnesota73-51
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HWisconsin84-94
12/02/25AMichigan73-75
08/02/25HUSC90-72
05/02/25AIowa90-81
01/02/25HIndiana81-76
25/01/25HMichigan91-64
22/01/25HOhio State70-73
18/01/25AOregon65-58
16/01/25AWashington69-58
12/01/25HNebraska104-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW80%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %80%82%75%
Points / game79.380.477.0
Allowed / game67.566.070.6
Point differential+11.8+14.4+6.4
Avg total146.8146.4147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %73%76%67%
Points / game78.782.471.7
Allowed / game69.871.566.8
Point differential+8.8+10.9+4.9
Avg total148.5153.9138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%47%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2520580%79.367.5+11.8
2 Wisconsin2520580%81.570.5+11.0
3 Michigan2520580%81.671.0+10.6
4 Maryland2620677%83.567.2+16.3
5 UCLA2619773%75.564.8+10.7
6 Purdue2619773%78.769.8+8.8
7 Oregon2618869%76.471.5+4.9
8 Illinois2617965%84.371.6+12.7
9 Nebraska2617965%75.871.3+4.5
10 Ohio State26151158%80.072.1+7.8
11 Indiana26151158%75.673.2+2.5
12 Iowa25141156%84.179.5+4.6
13 USC25141156%76.672.9+3.7
14 Minnesota25131252%69.069.6-0.6
15 Penn State26131350%79.573.5+5.9
16 Northwestern26131350%73.570.5+3.1
17 Washington24121250%71.773.5-1.9
18 Rutgers26121446%75.575.5+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State334275
Purdue313566
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