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Illinois vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-87 (OT)
33-31 37-39 21-17
Position#114
Record19-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game65.6
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#174
Record17-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan
27 Feb 2026
ILLI70
MICH84
13 Feb 2024
ILLI97
MICH68
02 Mar 2023
ILLI91
MICH87
14 Jan 2022
ILLI68
MICH53
11 Dec 2019
ILLI71
MICH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-26
35-34
20-16
41-35
38-37
34-19
36-35
43-46
30-34
39-26
40-53
41-40
38-35
30-36
35-29
43-40
19-37
47-25
29-41
31-31
137.8Avg total
70.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.265.6139.7+8.666%
Season at home (16)76.660.5137.1+16.188%
Season away (13)71.271.8142.9-0.638%
Last 10 (10)70.367.5137.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)70.673.4144.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.069.0135.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.574.1142.6-5.629%
vs Weaker (14)79.556.6136.1+22.9100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-41
35-34
32-49
29-34
26-25
42-26
41-36
36-33
46-34
47-38
37-33
24-29
32-31
27-33
33-36
51-36
26-23
32-22
35-27
33-41
139.0Avg total
71.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.468.7142.1+4.759%
Season at home (17)76.568.2144.6+8.376%
Season away (12)69.169.5138.6-0.433%
Last 10 (10)71.867.2139.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)69.864.4134.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.569.0131.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)72.268.2140.5+4.055%
vs Weaker (6)78.369.5147.8+8.883%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +3.0+3.0
IllinoisMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
31.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.667.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.830.667.4+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)32.035.267.2-3.254%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.366.2-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.071.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.033.560.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.438.470.7-6.036%-
vs Weaker (14)38.226.764.9+11.593%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H26/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.268.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.132.370.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)32.334.466.7-2.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.062.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.067.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)35.533.569.0+2.064%-
vs Weaker (6)37.231.268.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois wins
0
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
27/02/22Michigan v Illinois85-93
15/01/22Illinois v Michigan68-53
03/03/21Michigan v Illinois53-76
25/01/20Michigan v Illinois62-64
12/12/19Illinois v Michigan71-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23AOhio State60-72
24/02/23HNorthwestern66-62
21/02/23HMinnesota78-69
18/02/23AIndiana68-71
15/02/23APenn State81-93
11/02/23HRutgers69-60
04/02/23AIowa79-81
01/02/23HNebraska72-56
28/01/23AWisconsin61-51
25/01/23HOhio State69-60
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HWisconsin87-79 OT
24/02/23ARutgers58-45
19/02/23HMichigan State84-72
15/02/23AWisconsin59-64
11/02/23HIndiana61-62
08/02/23HNebraska93-72
05/02/23HOhio State77-69
03/02/23ANorthwestern68-51
29/01/23APenn State61-83
27/01/23HPurdue70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL66%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %66%88%38%
Points / game74.276.671.2
Allowed / game65.660.571.8
Point differential+8.6+16.1-0.6
Avg total139.7137.1142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLWW76%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %59%76%33%
Points / game73.476.569.1
Allowed / game68.768.269.5
Point differential+4.7+8.3-0.4
Avg total142.1144.6138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)43% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA2925486%73.759.7+14.1
2 Purdue2924583%73.462.2+11.2
3 USC2921872%72.766.3+6.4
4 Maryland30201067%70.963.2+7.8
5 Indiana30201067%75.368.3+7.0
6 Northwestern30201067%67.862.6+5.2
7 Illinois29191066%74.265.6+8.6
8 Iowa30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Rutgers29181162%68.559.7+8.8
10 Michigan State29181162%70.267.0+3.2
11 Penn State30181260%72.668.3+4.3
12 Michigan29171259%73.468.7+4.7
13 Wisconsin28161257%65.163.7+1.5
14 Oregon29161355%70.567.2+3.3
15 Washington30161453%68.769.4-0.7
16 Nebraska30151550%67.369.4-2.1
17 Ohio State30131743%72.968.9+4.1
18 Minnesota2772026%62.070.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois33372191
Michigan31391787
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