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Penn State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-73
27-37 52-36
Position#216
Record7-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#347
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penn State v Michigan
06 Jan 2026
PENN72
MICH74
13 Mar 2024
PENN66
MICH57
07 Jan 2024
PENN79
MICH73
29 Jan 2023
PENN83
MICH61
08 Feb 2022
PENN57
MICH58
09 Jan 2021
PENN v MICH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
45-50
39-42
39-46
40-46
34-40
33-27
34-49
30-28
41-43
29-41
54-39
37-39
35-33
40-28
32-27
44-24
46-39
26-51
35-41
155.0Avg total
75.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.371.9148.1+4.450%
Season at home (9)78.163.3141.4+14.878%
Season away (5)73.087.2160.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)75.879.2155.0-3.430%
Last 5 (5)77.474.4151.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.272.2137.4-7.020%
vs Similar (21)74.671.1145.8+3.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.869.0144.8+6.850%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#57
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
42-34
45-44
38-34
21-35
36-38
35-38
38-35
39-37
36-41
35-33
55-47
49-32
34-34
37-38
44-43
37-40
39-47
37-33
34-40
158.4Avg total
78.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.378.6160.9+3.643%
Season at home (10)83.378.9162.2+4.440%
Season away (4)79.878.0157.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)78.679.8158.4-1.230%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.479.3160.6+2.136%
vs Similar (13)70.268.1138.3+2.246%
vs Weaker (2)76.564.0140.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
Penn StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A05/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.366.1+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.830.066.8+6.862%-
Last 30 away (17)31.534.165.6-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.571.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.435.664.0-7.220%-
vs Similar (21)34.131.565.6+2.648%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.032.271.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#57
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.169.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.534.873.3+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)31.233.064.2-1.855%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.772.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.274.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.436.975.4+1.557%-
vs Similar (13)32.831.464.2+1.569%-
vs Weaker (2)34.528.563.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penn State wins
3
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Penn State v Michigan83-61
05/01/23Michigan v Penn State79-69
09/02/22Penn State v Michigan57-58
13/12/20Michigan v Penn State62-58
23/01/20Michigan v Penn State63-72
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AMichigan State61-92
29/12/23HRider90-63
22/12/23HLe Moyne72-55
16/12/23HGeorgia Tech81-82 OT
09/12/23HOhio State83-80
07/12/23AMaryland75-81 OT
02/12/23HBucknell67-76
26/11/23AVCU Rams74-86
24/11/23AButler78-88
23/11/23ATexas A&M77-89
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HMinnesota71-73
30/12/23HMcNeese State76-87
20/12/23HFlorida101-106 OT
16/12/23HEastern Michigan83-66
10/12/23AIowa90-80
06/12/23HIndiana75-78
02/12/23AOregon83-86 OT
24/11/23ATexas Tech57-73
24/11/23HStanford83-78
22/11/23HMemphis67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%78%0%
Points / game76.378.173.0
Allowed / game71.963.387.2
Point differential+4.4+14.8-14.2
Avg total148.1141.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%11%20%
Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game82.383.379.8
Allowed / game78.678.978.0
Point differential+3.6+4.4+1.8
Avg total160.9162.2157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %14%10%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1514193%85.267.7+17.5
2 Ohio State1512380%78.165.8+12.3
3 Nebraska1512380%77.867.3+10.5
4 Oregon1512380%78.771.4+7.3
5 Illinois1411379%83.566.8+16.7
6 Minnesota1411379%79.966.6+13.3
7 Wisconsin1411379%75.865.9+9.9
8 Northwestern1310377%72.465.6+6.8
9 Indiana1511473%75.573.7+1.9
10 Michigan State149564%78.364.3+14.0
11 Maryland149564%71.763.6+8.1
12 Iowa159660%86.777.7+8.9
13 Washington159660%81.775.7+6.0
14 Rutgers148657%68.564.2+4.3
15 USC158753%78.975.0+3.9
16 Penn State147750%76.371.9+4.4
17 Michigan146843%82.378.6+3.6
18 UCLA156940%65.562.2+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State275279
Michigan373673
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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