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Michigan vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 77-67
32-28 45-39
Position#6
Record25-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game68.7
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#235
Record13-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v Minnesota
12 Jan 2027
MICH v MINN
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MICH77
MINN67
04 Jan 2024
MICH71
MINN73
22 Jan 2023
MICH60
MINN56
11 Dec 2021
MICH65
MINN75
06 Jan 2021
MICH82
MINN57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
46-43
33-30
41-32
48-50
27-22
42-26
41-45
56-24
54-45
44-34
38-27
35-44
52-31
40-38
46-18
48-32
43-48
33-35
30-33
152.3Avg total
83.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.668.7158.3+20.993%
Season at home (16)94.166.8160.9+27.494%
Season away (11)83.071.6154.6+11.491%
Last 10 (10)83.768.6152.3+15.190%
Last 5 (5)81.868.0149.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.571.5138.0-5.050%
vs Similar (3)85.069.3154.3+15.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)90.269.1159.3+21.196%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
33-43
28-31
39-36
36-30
21-46
35-17
28-50
31-41
44-36
32-21
44-52
33-32
29-35
26-39
31-30
22-17
39-27
36-23
44-38
136.5Avg total
67.2Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.967.7138.6+3.248%
Season at home (18)73.264.8137.9+8.461%
Season away (9)66.473.6140.0-7.122%
Last 10 (10)67.269.3136.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)67.262.8130.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.275.1143.2-6.925%
vs Similar (9)68.971.0139.9-2.133%
vs Weaker (9)75.056.6131.6+18.478%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
MichiganMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/02
NCAA
76.1Avg total
41.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.533.377.7+11.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.831.879.5+16.094%-
Last 30 away (13)40.235.275.4+4.946%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.276.1+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.028.563.5+6.550%-
vs Similar (3)40.334.374.7+6.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.733.579.2+12.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
59.8Avg total
31.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.829.662.4+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.128.662.7+5.665%-
Last 30 away (10)30.131.861.9-1.720%-
Last 10 (10)31.328.559.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)29.826.456.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.630.862.3+0.842%-
vs Similar (9)30.432.462.9-2.022%-
vs Weaker (9)36.825.362.1+11.489%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan wins
5
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Minnesota v Michigan84-81 OT
05/01/24Michigan v Minnesota71-73
22/01/23Michigan v Minnesota60-56
09/12/22Minnesota v Michigan75-90
11/12/21Michigan v Minnesota65-75
16/01/21Minnesota v Michigan75-57
07/01/21Michigan v Minnesota82-57
12/01/20Minnesota v Michigan75-67
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ADuke63-68
17/02/26APurdue91-80
14/02/26HUCLA86-56
12/02/26ANorthwestern87-75
08/02/26AOhio State82-61
05/02/26HPenn State110-69
31/01/26AMichigan State83-71
28/01/26HNebraska75-72
24/01/26HOhio State74-62
21/01/26HIndiana86-72
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
18/02/26AOregon61-44
15/02/26AWashington57-69
08/02/26HMaryland62-67
05/02/26HMichigan State76-73
01/02/26APenn State75-77
29/01/26AWisconsin63-67
24/01/26HNebraska57-76
20/01/26AOhio State74-82 OT
17/01/26AIllinois67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %93%94%91%
Points / game89.694.183.0
Allowed / game68.766.871.6
Point differential+20.9+27.4+11.4
Avg total158.3160.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%81%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeLLWLW61%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %48%61%22%
Points / game70.973.266.4
Allowed / game67.764.873.6
Point differential+3.2+8.4-7.1
Avg total138.6137.9140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2725293%89.668.7+20.9
2 Nebraska2723485%78.665.6+13.1
3 Purdue2722581%82.969.3+13.7
4 Michigan State2722581%78.466.1+12.3
5 Illinois2822679%85.169.0+16.1
6 Iowa2719870%76.065.1+10.9
7 Wisconsin2719870%83.175.8+7.3
8 UCLA2718967%77.971.8+6.1
9 USC2718967%80.376.6+3.7
10 Ohio State27171063%80.473.1+7.3
11 Indiana28171161%79.372.1+7.2
12 Washington28141450%76.372.1+4.2
13 Minnesota27131448%70.967.7+3.2
14 Northwestern28121643%74.172.9+1.2
15 Maryland27111641%71.277.5-6.3
16 Penn State28111739%74.979.5-4.6
17 Rutgers28111739%70.375.8-5.5
18 Oregon27101737%71.174.2-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan324577
Minnesota283967
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