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Michigan vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 72-49
40-30 32-19
Position#44
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#308
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game84.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Tarleton
21 Nov 2024
MICH72
TARL49
24 Nov 2021
MICH65
TARL54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A03/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H10/03
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A14/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
28-39
36-47
40-37
26-41
26-41
27-32
34-52
43-50
27-35
22-33
35-33
54-26
47-27
38-34
32-38
34-31
42-33
44-36
50-31
145.2Avg total
71.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.264.0149.2+21.275%
Season at home (3)90.361.3151.7+29.0100%
Season away (1)70.072.0142.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)71.973.3145.2-1.430%
Last 5 (5)79.664.4144.0+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.480.4149.8-11.012%
vs Similar (3)92.762.0154.7+30.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
41-104
41
104
-63
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-30
36-44
39-37
49-46
40-30
20-33
39-32
30-34
41-39
43-48
28-51
34-45
34-47
28-44
28-33
24-39
44-34
44-23
13-56
28-48
148.4Avg total
69.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)61.084.0145.0-23.020%
Season at home (2)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
Season away (3)51.790.7142.3-39.00%
Last 10 (10)69.179.3148.4-10.240%
Last 5 (5)61.084.0145.0-23.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)55.482.3137.7-26.914%
vs Similar (8)76.172.4148.5+3.875%
vs Weaker (12)76.271.3147.6+4.975%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -6.8-6.8
MichiganTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H10/03
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A14/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.171.5-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.036.276.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)30.136.166.2-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.772.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)33.737.070.7-3.340%-
vs Similar (3)49.031.380.3+17.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.032.568.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
13-56
13
56
-43
A18/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
35.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.269.8-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.334.072.3+4.375%-
Last 30 away (14)30.436.667.0-6.336%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.974.4-3.460%-
Last 5 (5)29.444.273.6-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)25.642.468.0-16.90%-
vs Similar (8)36.933.270.1+3.688%-
vs Weaker (12)35.633.469.0+2.258%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan wins
0
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
25/11/21Michigan v Tarleton65-54
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/24HMiami (Ohio)94-67
15/11/24HTCU76-64
10/11/24AWake Forest70-72
05/11/24HCleveland State101-53
14/03/24APenn State57-66
10/03/24HNebraska70-85
03/03/24AOhio State61-84
01/03/24ARutgers52-82
25/02/24HPurdue76-84
23/02/24ANorthwestern62-76
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/24ABaylor41-104
15/11/24HTabor88-57
13/11/24AFlorida State52-72
10/11/24HSam Houston St.62-91
05/11/24ASMU Mustangs62-96
16/03/24HUT Arlington84-87
09/03/24HSeattle69-66
08/03/24HUtah Valley State60-63
03/03/24ASouthern Utah88-83
01/03/24AUtah Tech85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game85.290.370.0
Allowed / game64.061.372.0
Point differential+21.2+29.0-2.0
Avg total149.2151.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game61.075.051.7
Allowed / game84.074.090.7
Point differential-23.0+1.0-39.0
Avg total145.0149.0142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State550100%98.267.0+31.2
2 Indiana440100%81.561.2+20.2
3 Oregon440100%83.063.8+19.2
4 Iowa550100%86.668.4+18.2
5 Wisconsin550100%88.271.2+17.0
6 Rutgers440100%80.565.2+15.2
7 Maryland54180%86.253.8+32.4
8 UCLA54180%77.855.4+22.4
9 Michigan State54180%83.068.2+14.8
10 Northwestern54180%75.663.6+12.0
11 USC54180%79.670.8+8.8
12 Minnesota54180%63.255.6+7.6
13 Purdue54180%79.872.2+7.6
14 Michigan43175%85.264.0+21.2
15 Ohio State43175%76.256.8+19.5
16 Illinois43175%88.869.8+19.0
17 Nebraska43175%77.565.5+12.0
18 Washington32167%68.768.3+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah54180%86.869.2+17.6
2 Utah Valley State32167%84.064.7+19.3
3 Abilene Christian53260%82.870.4+12.4
4 California Baptist53260%79.677.6+2.0
5 UT Arlington52340%85.078.4+6.6
6 Utah Tech41325%69.875.0-5.2
7 Tarleton51420%61.084.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan403272
Tarleton301949
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