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Michigan vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-84 (OT)
47-34 33-46 5-4
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game78.0
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#190
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
121-78
121
78
+43
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
43-62
22-33
43-38
28-50
34-29
40-36
46-32
38-34
43-46
21-23
38-30
41-27
27-38
35-39
56-40
29-30
36-48
69-38
52-40
151.5Avg total
77.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)121.078.0199.0+43.0100%
Season at home (1)121.078.0199.0+43.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.174.4151.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)80.870.6151.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.274.7141.8-7.533%
vs Similar (17)78.274.6152.9+3.676%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.474.3165.7+17.186%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
69-43
69
43
+26
H08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H13/03
NCAA
American University
#204
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
34-40
39-45
33-44
42-39
25-30
49-41
27-40
33-53
34-15
35-28
31-33
28-35
46-34
42-40
44-31
37-34
144.6Avg total
72.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.569.5154.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)84.569.5154.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.672.0144.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)71.468.6140.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)61.773.9135.6-12.114%
vs Similar (16)71.665.6137.1+6.075%
vs Weaker (7)76.769.6146.3+7.186%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
MichiganWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
21-23
21
23
-2
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
69-38
69
38
+31
H04/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.474.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.335.676.9+5.861%-
Last 30 away (12)35.835.270.9+0.667%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.169.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.470.4+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.734.767.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (17)37.535.172.6+2.559%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.436.985.3+11.686%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H13/03
NCAA
American University
#204
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
34.1Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.865.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.131.265.3+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.965.7-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.266.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.667.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.437.163.6-10.70%-
vs Similar (16)33.630.964.5+2.844%-
vs Weaker (7)36.732.969.6+3.986%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
1
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Wake Forest v Michigan72-70
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HOakland121-78
29/03/25AAuburn65-78
22/03/25ATexas A&M91-79
21/03/25HUC San Diego68-65
16/03/25HWisconsin59-53
15/03/25AMaryland81-80
15/03/25HPurdue86-68
09/03/25AMichigan State62-79
05/03/25HMaryland65-71
02/03/25HIllinois73-93
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HMorehead State81-65
04/11/25HAmerican University88-74
13/03/25HNorth Carolina59-68
08/03/25HGeorgia Tech69-43
04/03/25ADuke60-93
01/03/25HNotre Dame74-71
27/02/25HVirginia75-83
22/02/25ANC State73-85
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game121.0121.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+43.0+43.0-
Avg total199.0199.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.584.5-
Allowed / game69.569.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois220100%113.062.5+50.5
2 Michigan110100%121.078.0+43.0
3 Minnesota220100%91.055.0+36.0
4 Indiana220100%99.064.0+35.0
5 Nebraska220100%91.059.5+31.5
6 Northwestern330100%85.354.0+31.3
7 USC220100%104.073.5+30.5
8 Wisconsin220100%96.568.0+28.5
9 Penn State220100%81.555.5+26.0
10 Iowa220100%89.063.5+25.5
11 Ohio State220100%106.085.0+21.0
12 Purdue220100%84.564.0+20.5
13 Rutgers220100%76.556.5+20.0
14 UCLA330100%79.066.3+12.7
15 Michigan State220100%74.567.5+7.0
16 Oregon220100%63.561.0+2.5
17 Washington32167%82.366.0+16.3
18 Maryland21150%71.565.5+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%105.057.5+47.5
2 Clemson220100%92.548.5+44.0
3 Syracuse220100%84.045.0+39.0
4 NC State220100%104.068.0+36.0
5 Florida State220100%104.570.0+34.5
6 Miami (FL)330100%96.363.7+32.7
7 Duke220100%85.057.0+28.0
8 Notre Dame220100%95.568.5+27.0
9 North Carolina220100%90.564.0+26.5
10 Virginia220100%84.057.5+26.5
11 California330100%85.764.0+21.7
12 Virginia Tech220100%102.584.0+18.5
13 Stanford220100%90.073.5+16.5
14 SMU Mustangs220100%82.567.0+15.5
15 Pittsburgh330100%76.761.7+15.0
16 Wake Forest220100%84.569.5+15.0
17 Georgia Tech330100%66.752.3+14.3
18 Boston College21150%77.065.0+12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Michigan4733585
Wake Forest3446484
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