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Michigan vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-68
40-36 46-32
Position#44
Record22-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#72
Record22-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Purdue
08 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MICH72
PURD80
14 Mar 2025
MICH86
PURD68
11 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD73
25 Feb 2024
MICH76
PURD84
26 Jan 2023
MICH70
PURD75
10 Feb 2022
MICH82
PURD58
09 Jan 2020
MICH84
PURD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
39-40
43-27
27-40
35-37
40-36
44-39
42-44
38-34
24-41
25-21
24-25
49-57
35-25
30-31
43-62
22-33
43-38
28-50
34-29
145.1Avg total
70.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.571.6150.2+6.971%
Season at home (19)82.471.6154.0+10.874%
Season away (12)72.471.8144.2+0.767%
Last 10 (10)70.674.5145.1-3.960%
Last 5 (5)66.674.2140.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.473.7152.1+4.776%
vs Weaker (10)81.269.0150.2+12.280%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#215
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
54-45
48-36
42-36
37-35
36-40
37-36
47-58
31-33
35-42
37-25
21-48
37-35
39-31
50-41
50-30
42-40
38-48
35-35
41-36
155.9Avg total
79.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.270.6148.8+7.669%
Season at home (20)82.771.2153.8+11.580%
Season away (12)70.869.8140.5+1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.376.6155.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)78.073.8151.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.767%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.072.1147.1+2.947%
vs Weaker (12)80.967.2148.1+13.892%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -1.1-1.1
MichiganPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.473.9+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.735.776.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (12)35.434.870.2+0.675%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.469.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.339.068.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.435.173.5+3.465%-
vs Weaker (10)41.634.876.4+6.890%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#215
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/03
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.969.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.133.373.3+6.872%-
Last 30 away (12)31.832.364.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.274.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.275.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.037.071.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.132.970.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker (12)36.931.968.8+5.067%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan wins
5
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Michigan v Purdue75-73
25/01/25Purdue v Michigan91-64
25/02/24Michigan v Purdue76-84
24/01/24Purdue v Michigan99-67
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
22/02/20Purdue v Michigan63-71
10/01/20Michigan v Purdue84-78 OT
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AMichigan State62-79
05/03/25HMaryland65-71
02/03/25HIllinois73-93
28/02/25HRutgers84-82
25/02/25ANebraska49-46
22/02/25HMichigan State62-75
16/02/25AOhio State86-83
12/02/25HPurdue75-73
08/02/25AIndiana70-67
05/02/25HOregon80-76
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HUSC76-71
08/03/25AIllinois80-88
05/03/25HRutgers100-71
01/03/25HUCLA76-66
23/02/25AIndiana58-73
19/02/25AMichigan State66-75
15/02/25HWisconsin84-94
12/02/25AMichigan73-75
08/02/25HUSC90-72
05/02/25AIowa90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWLWLL74%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %71%74%67%
Points / game78.582.472.4
Allowed / game71.671.671.8
Point differential+6.9+10.8+0.7
Avg total150.2154.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)75% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game78.282.770.8
Allowed / game70.671.269.8
Point differential+7.6+11.5+1.0
Avg total148.8153.8140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3227584%78.366.9+11.3
2 Maryland3225778%81.766.6+15.2
3 Wisconsin3325876%80.670.7+9.9
4 Oregon3324973%76.270.9+5.3
5 Michigan3122971%78.571.6+6.9
6 UCLA32221069%74.865.7+9.0
7 Purdue32221069%78.270.6+7.6
8 Illinois33211264%83.874.6+9.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan404686
Purdue363268
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