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New Mexico State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-73 (OT)
35-37 34-32 10-4
Position#285
Record9-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#158
Record13-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico State v Liberty
11 Feb 2026
NEW 75
LIBE77
13 Feb 2025
NEW 54
LIBE64
01 Feb 2024
NEW 79
LIBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
42-41
22-34
50-41
37-33
22-32
32-26
34-35
28-22
35-31
30-38
37-39
27-37
45-33
34-26
39-36
37-38
30-41
28-33
25-40
135.2Avg total
66.4Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.471.7141.1-2.343%
Season at home (12)72.863.7136.5+9.275%
Season away (9)64.982.4147.3-17.60%
Last 10 (10)66.468.8135.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)66.472.2138.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)48.861.5110.2-12.725%
vs Similar (6)63.767.5131.2-3.833%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#685
W
99-26
99
26
+73
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
56-101
56
101
-45
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-14
47-12
46-34
33-29
27-48
29-53
48-23
40-23
33-34
35-36
21-26
30-35
37-30
32-39
36-29
42-40
41-33
41-33
31-33
31-40
139.4Avg total
73.9Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.863.8139.5+12.062%
Season at home (16)78.060.6138.6+17.475%
Season away (5)68.673.8142.4-5.220%
Last 10 (10)73.965.5139.4+8.450%
Last 5 (5)69.869.8139.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)65.777.1142.9-11.414%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.560.4139.9+19.181%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
New Mexico StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/01
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.5Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.234.166.3-1.946%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.330.964.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (10)30.738.669.3-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)30.531.962.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.465.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.137.167.1-7.027%-
vs Similar (5)33.630.664.2+3.080%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.566.9+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.928.965.8+8.070%-
Last 30 away (10)35.533.669.1+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.467.6+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.263.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (7)32.036.968.9-4.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.228.366.5+10.076%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Liberty wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ALouisiana Tech53-73
26/01/24ASam Houston St.67-79
21/01/24HMiddle Tenn. St.73-62
19/01/24HWestern Kentucky72-70
12/01/24AFlorida International67-77
05/01/24HUTEP63-53
31/12/23HCalifornia Baptist66-61
23/12/23ATulsa59-65
20/12/23AStephen F. Austin72-75
16/12/23HNew Mexico72-73
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AJacksonville State62-73
21/01/24HSam Houston St.82-66
19/01/24HFlorida International78-69
14/01/24ALouisiana Tech76-80 OT
11/01/24HJacksonville State51-61
06/01/24AWestern Kentucky68-70
01/01/24HBoyce88-46
30/12/23HAlabama56-101
21/12/23AUtah Valley State79-63
16/12/23HSt. Andrews99-26

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.472.864.9
Allowed / game71.763.782.4
Point differential-2.3+9.2-17.6
Avg total141.1136.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %10%8%11%
Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21165
Win %62%75%20%
Points / game75.878.068.6
Allowed / game63.860.673.8
Point differential+12.0+17.4-5.2
Avg total139.5138.6142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%69%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2216673%76.262.7+13.5
2 Western Kentucky2014670%80.575.1+5.5
3 Liberty2113862%75.863.8+12.0
4 Delaware2213959%75.570.1+5.4
5 Kennesaw State2213959%84.979.8+5.1
6 Missouri State2213959%71.570.4+1.1
7 Sam Houston St.2112957%71.571.0+0.5
8 Jacksonville State21111052%70.863.9+6.9
9 UTEP21111052%73.669.3+4.3
10 New Mexico State2191243%69.471.7-2.3
11 Middle Tenn. St.2181338%63.866.3-2.5
12 Florida International2271532%75.278.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
New Mexico State35341079
Liberty3732473
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