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Middle Tenn. St. vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-61
26-35 31-26
Position#76
Record14-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#175
Record11-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v New Mexico State
09 Jan 2027
MIDD v NEW
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIDD86
NEW 85
30 Jan 2025
MIDD57
NEW 61
15 Feb 2024
MIDD76
NEW 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-23
50-41
37-30
30-35
40-34
24-48
32-35
41-34
25-42
38-31
43-39
41-40
37-27
44-37
27-28
44-29
36-38
41-37
30-27
39-48
142.7Avg total
72.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.670.8148.4+6.870%
Season at home (10)80.866.7147.5+14.190%
Season away (10)74.474.9149.3-0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.470.3142.7+2.170%
Last 5 (5)76.470.0146.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.076.0145.0-7.045%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.274.3149.5+0.964%
vs Weaker (8)84.464.2148.6+20.1100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#297
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
78-48
78
48
+30
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
85-57
85
57
+28
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
40-36
43-18
44-32
44-20
41-32
38-30
37-41
44-19
34-29
38-25
47-32
28-26
31-26
31-34
29-34
34-24
22-45
29-29
30-36
131.7Avg total
71.6Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.067.2139.2+4.855%
Season at home (10)75.864.1139.9+11.770%
Season away (10)68.370.3138.6-2.040%
Last 10 (10)71.660.1131.7+11.570%
Last 5 (5)63.862.2126.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.075.1140.1-10.136%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.970.0137.9-2.130%
vs Weaker (7)71.164.0135.1+7.171%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
Middle Tenn. St.New Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.369.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.131.767.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)34.536.571.0-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.365.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.866.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.136.869.9-3.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.533.966.5-1.455%-
vs Weaker (8)42.031.273.2+10.862%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#297
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
36.1Scored
25.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.364.2+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.463.5+8.664%-
Last 30 away (16)32.032.864.8-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.125.861.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.027.659.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.134.566.6-2.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.129.664.7+5.560%-
vs Weaker (7)33.128.361.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ALouisiana Tech69-75
24/01/25ASam Houston St.77-75
19/01/25HWestern Kentucky71-57
11/01/25HJacksonville State81-64
10/01/25HKennesaw State84-79
04/01/25ALiberty63-73
03/01/25AFlorida International73-69
24/12/24ATennessee64-82
20/12/24HLipscomb67-65
17/12/24HCalifornia Baptist75-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HJacksonville State59-65
24/01/25HKennesaw State56-69
19/01/25ALiberty60-68
17/01/25AFlorida International59-52
12/01/25AUTEP85-57
04/01/25HLouisiana Tech78-48
03/01/25HSam Houston St.75-71
28/12/24HSouthwest Mustangs85-52
20/12/24HNorthern New Mexico87-50
17/12/24HSouthern Utah72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game77.680.874.4
Allowed / game70.866.774.9
Point differential+6.8+14.1-0.5
Avg total148.4147.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game72.075.868.3
Allowed / game67.264.170.3
Point differential+4.8+11.7-2.0
Avg total139.2139.9138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2016480%78.561.4+17.1
2 UTEP2015575%73.468.0+5.3
3 Louisiana Tech2115671%76.468.3+8.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.2014670%77.670.8+6.8
5 Jacksonville State2114767%76.769.1+7.5
6 Kennesaw State2012860%78.974.3+4.5
7 Western Kentucky2012860%76.875.0+1.8
8 New Mexico State2011955%72.067.2+4.8
9 Delaware22111150%77.377.1+0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2181338%77.177.1-0.0
11 Florida International2171433%71.871.8+0.0
12 Missouri State2271532%69.572.5-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.263157
New Mexico State352661
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