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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#22
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Charlotte Hornets
29 Jan 2027
MIN v CHA
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
MIN108
CHA122
04 Nov 2024
MIN114
CHA93
22 Jan 2024
MIN125
CHA128
15 Jul 2023
MIN92
CHA109
24 Feb 2023
MIN113
CHA121
16 Jul 2022
MIN89
CHA86
15 Feb 2022
MIN126
CHA120
03 Mar 2021
MIN102
CHA135
12 Feb 2020
MIN108
CHA115
05 Dec 2018
MIN121
CHA104
05 Nov 2017
MIN112
CHA94
15 Nov 2016
MIN108
CHA115
21 Oct 2016
MIN109
CHA74
10 Nov 2015
MIN95
CHA104
22 Mar 2015
MIN98
CHA109
10 Jan 2014
MIN119
CHA92
14 Nov 2012
MIN87
CHA89
15 Feb 2012
MIN102
CHA90
05 Jan 2011
MIN105
CHA108
10 Feb 2010
MIN92
CHA93
14 Mar 2009
MIN108
CHA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
125-124
125
124
+1
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
106-128
106
128
-22
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
116-133
116
133
-17
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
36-33
31-28
34-40
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
232.7Avg total
119.8Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.8112.4231.2+6.458%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (8)120.2113.4233.6+6.962%
Last 10 (10)119.8112.9232.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)119.6106.8226.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (13)113.5114.4227.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)122.3112.5234.8+9.773%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
90-124
90
124
-34
H06/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
105-90
105
90
+15
H11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
93-114
93
114
-21
A14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
98-116
98
116
-18
A17/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A21/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
81-128
81
128
-47
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
115-110
115
110
+5
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
21-23
21-36
17-32
29-26
31-19
27-22
18-23
20-28
24-26
33-31
16-29
20-23
18-27
24-29
36-37
27-23
27-25
32-33
24-22
20-33
23-35
19-29
19-31
31-31
35-27
30-17
19-35
19-21
35-23
26-24
30-35
22-21
29-23
19-32
19-21
26-22
20-29
13-28
20-16
205.0Avg total
97.0Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.0108.0205.0-11.040%
Season at home (5)100.2111.0211.2-10.860%
Season away (5)93.8105.0198.8-11.220%
Last 10 (10)97.0108.0205.0-11.040%
Last 5 (5)94.8106.6201.4-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)96.7110.5207.2-13.830%
vs Similar (13)112.4109.5221.9+2.862%
vs Weaker (7)119.7101.9221.6+17.986%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.8Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.2113.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.256.4113.6+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.9115.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.852.4110.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (13)56.556.7113.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)63.554.9118.4+8.591%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H06/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
102.6Avg total
50.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.8110.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.855.6116.3+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)50.753.9104.6-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)50.851.8102.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)52.053.0105.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)49.453.2102.6-3.840%-
vs Similar (13)58.257.1115.2+1.154%-
vs Weaker (7)61.752.9114.6+8.971%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.4
52.3%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.4
39.1%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws31.122.5
72.3%
76.2%22.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.6
51.1%
54.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.215.1
34.2%
34.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws19.816.3
82.3%
76.2%16.3
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWW
Charlotte Hornets
LLWWLWLLWL
#9
League position
#22
+5.0
Net rating
-5.2
106.1
Offensive rating
99.1
101.1
Defensive rating
104.3
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
47.5%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
34.2%
60.0%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 99.1Defence101.1 · 104.3Shooting55.0% · 51.2%3-point %39.1% · 34.2%Ball care14.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds47.5% · 27.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
11/10/26AMiami Heat125-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AWashington Wizards79-95
28/10/26ADetroit Pistons89-97
26/10/26HWashington Wizards110-103
24/10/26HMiami Heat115-110
23/10/26HAtlanta Hawks81-128
21/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-103
17/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies98-116
14/10/26ABoston Celtics93-114
11/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks105-90
06/10/26HBrooklyn Nets90-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %58%50%62%
Points / game118.8116.0120.2
Allowed / game112.4110.5113.4
Point differential+6.4+5.5+6.9
Avg total231.2226.5233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game97.0100.293.8
Allowed / game108.0111.0105.0
Point differential-11.0-10.8-11.2
Avg total205.0211.2198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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