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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 108-122
21-29 39-26 19-34 29-33
Position#10
Record47-35
FormWLWLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game114.5
vs
Position#15
Record44-39
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Charlotte Hornets
29 Jan 2027
MIN v CHA
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
MIN108
CHA122
04 Nov 2024
MIN114
CHA93
22 Jan 2024
MIN125
CHA128
15 Jul 2023
MIN92
CHA109
24 Feb 2023
MIN113
CHA121
16 Jul 2022
MIN89
CHA86
15 Feb 2022
MIN126
CHA120
03 Mar 2021
MIN102
CHA135
12 Feb 2020
MIN108
CHA115
05 Dec 2018
MIN121
CHA104
05 Nov 2017
MIN112
CHA94
15 Nov 2016
MIN108
CHA115
21 Oct 2016
MIN109
CHA74
10 Nov 2015
MIN95
CHA104
22 Mar 2015
MIN98
CHA109
10 Jan 2014
MIN119
CHA92
14 Nov 2012
MIN87
CHA89
15 Feb 2012
MIN102
CHA90
05 Jan 2011
MIN105
CHA108
10 Feb 2010
MIN92
CHA93
14 Mar 2009
MIN108
CHA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Minnesota Timberwolves
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.3
106.4▼ 8.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.8
107.8▼ 4.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
51%▼ 7%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.6
24.2▼ 1.4
🔥 Form · Charlotte Hornets
3.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 114.5
117.2▲ 2.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 110.6
106.6▼ 4.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
58%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.0
24.6▼ 1.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-116
103
116
-13
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-111
147
111
+36
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-108
104
108
-4
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
124-94
124
94
+30
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
108-113
108
113
-5
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
103-115
103
115
-12
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-24
23-33
27-36
36-39
28-24
28-23
24-18
43-31
29-27
38-26
37-27
28-33
31-35
27-19
18-21
14-23
33-21
29-33
26-15
23-19
21-24
26-25
25-27
24-33
20-16
16-25
27-35
35-23
21-23
38-25
30-23
31-30
23-24
26-25
28-34
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
217.4Avg total
110.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)117.6114.5232.1+3.157%
Season at home (40)115.0111.0226.1+4.062%
Season away (42)120.0117.8237.8+2.352%
Last 10 (10)110.4107.0217.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)106.4107.8214.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.6108.2212.8-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.1115.8229.9-1.859%
vs Weaker (8)125.2112.6237.9+12.675%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
136-106
136
106
+30
H17/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
130-111
130
111
+19
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
124-101
124
101
+23
H21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
134-90
134
90
+44
H24/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-103
114
103
+11
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
114-118
114
118
-4
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
99-114
99
114
-15
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
117-86
117
86
+31
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
127-107
127
107
+20
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
129-108
129
108
+21
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
33-33
37-31
40-18
34-32
38-21
38-24
20-34
30-26
29-21
38-28
27-26
34-25
38-22
41-29
21-14
38-36
27-19
29-21
20-27
36-25
33-39
28-28
17-26
21-27
28-36
26-26
24-25
35-18
23-27
31-18
28-23
33-41
33-19
36-27
25-20
38-24
31-26
31-32
29-26
226.8Avg total
122.4Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)116.7111.9228.5+4.853%
Season at home (42)116.1111.7227.8+4.452%
Season away (41)117.2112.0229.3+5.254%
Last 10 (10)122.4104.4226.8+18.080%
Last 5 (5)117.2106.6223.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.5110.5217.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.7109.1223.8+5.657%
vs Weaker (14)120.1102.3222.4+17.993%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
105.3Avg total
54.0Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.3111.7+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.356.6115.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)55.552.1107.6+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)54.051.3105.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.046.695.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.248.8101.0+3.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.655.5112.2+1.159%-
vs Weaker (8)62.255.2117.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H17/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H24/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H03/04
NBA
117.9Avg total
63.8Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.154.2113.3+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.954.3114.3+5.672%-
Last 30 away (12)57.954.0111.9+3.958%-
Last 10 (10)63.854.1117.9+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)62.256.4118.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.553.0106.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.655.7115.4+3.957%-
vs Weaker (14)59.452.9112.3+6.679%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.827.9
50.0%
54.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.712.6
35.3%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
78.1%16.8
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 122.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers54.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.2
59.2%
54.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.218.2
39.4%
35.8%54.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.4
81.3%
78.1%17.4
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWWLWWL
Charlotte Hornets
WWWLLWWWWW
#10
League position
#15
+3.2
Net rating
+18.2
104.8
Offensive rating
123.9
101.6
Defensive rating
105.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
59.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.3%
3-point %
39.4%
62.0%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 123.9Defence101.6 · 105.7Shooting51.1% · 59.1%3-point %35.3% · 39.4%Ball care14.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds28.4% · 34.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115
02/04/26ADetroit Pistons108-113
31/03/26ADallas Mavericks124-94
28/03/26HDetroit Pistons87-109
26/03/26HHouston Rockets110-108 OT
23/03/26ABoston Celtics102-92
21/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers104-108
19/03/26HUtah Jazz147-111
18/03/26HPhoenix Suns116-104
15/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/26HIndiana Pacers129-108
02/04/26HPhoenix Suns127-107
31/03/26ABrooklyn Nets117-86
29/03/26HBoston Celtics99-114
28/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
26/03/26HNew York Knicks114-103
24/03/26HSacramento Kings134-90
21/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies124-101
19/03/26HOrlando Magic130-111
17/03/26HMiami Heat136-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824042
Win %57%62%52%
Points / game117.6115.0120.0
Allowed / game114.5111.0117.8
Point differential+3.1+4.0+2.3
Avg total232.1226.1237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (24)54% (13)27% (11)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWLLWW52%
AwayLWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %53%52%54%
Points / game116.7116.1117.2
Allowed / game111.9111.7112.0
Point differential+4.8+4.4+5.2
Avg total228.5227.8229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%36%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (18)33% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %4%2%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder81641779%118.1107.8+10.3
2 San Antonio Spurs80611976%120.0111.4+8.6
3 Detroit Pistons82592372%117.3109.5+7.8
4 Boston Celtics82562668%114.8107.0+7.9
5 New York Knicks81522964%116.0109.9+6.1
6 Houston Rockets81522964%115.6110.4+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets83533064%120.8116.3+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers82513162%115.6114.7+0.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers82503261%119.0115.3+3.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves82473557%117.6114.5+3.1
11 Atlanta Hawks82473557%118.5116.2+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns81463557%113.3110.7+2.6
13 Toronto Raptors83473657%114.5112.1+2.4
14 Orlando Magic79443556%115.9115.1+0.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers82443854%115.6116.3-0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets83443953%116.7111.9+4.8
17 Los Angeles Clippers80413951%113.3112.1+1.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers82414150%115.7116.3-0.7
19 Miami Heat83414249%120.2118.6+1.6
20 Golden State Warriors82394348%114.9115.0-0.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%111.0116.5-5.6
22 Chicago Bulls83325139%116.4121.5-5.1
23 Dallas Mavericks81275433%113.6118.4-4.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies83265731%115.0120.2-5.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans80255531%115.2119.7-4.5
26 Utah Jazz82226027%117.4125.8-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings82226027%111.1120.9-9.8
28 Brooklyn Nets81206125%106.7115.9-9.3
29 Indiana Pacers82206224%112.7120.9-8.2
30 Washington Wizards81186322%112.9124.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves21391929108
Charlotte Hornets29263433122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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