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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Detroit Pistons
22 Mar 2027
MIN v DET
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
MIN106
DET128
28 Mar 2026
MIN87
DET109
30 Mar 2025
MIN123
DET104
27 Mar 2024
MIN106
DET91
31 Dec 2022
MIN104
DET116
06 Feb 2022
MIN118
DET105
23 Dec 2020
MIN111
DET101
05 Apr 2020
MIN v DET
upcoming
19 Dec 2018
MIN123
DET129
11 Jul 2018
MIN59
DET64
19 Nov 2017
MIN97
DET100
09 Dec 2016
MIN90
DET117
20 Nov 2015
MIN86
DET96
30 Oct 2014
MIN97
DET91
07 Mar 2014
MIN114
DET101
06 Apr 2013
MIN107
DET101
24 Oct 2012
MIN95
DET76
18 Jan 2012
MIN93
DET85
10 Dec 2010
MIN109
DET99
15 Oct 2010
MIN99
DET88
14 Apr 2010
MIN98
DET103
28 Jan 2009
MIN89
DET98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#25
L
112-123
112
123
-11
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-124
125
124
+1
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
106-128
106
128
-22
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
116-133
116
133
-17
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
38-29
26-38
21-24
24-23
36-33
31-28
34-40
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
235.4Avg total
119.5Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)119.2114.2233.4+5.055%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (7)121.0116.3237.3+4.757%
Last 10 (10)119.5115.9235.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)122.8109.4232.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.5114.4227.9-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)123.0114.5237.5+8.570%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
109-107
109
107
+2
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
128-106
128
106
+22
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
129-125
129
125
+4
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
128-111
128
111
+17
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
97-111
97
111
-14
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
110-94
110
94
+16
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
29-33
34-16
25-23
20-40
30-16
28-24
20-18
29-38
36-20
32-24
31-24
33-33
26-19
34-28
36-45
27-28
18-30
37-30
39-25
41-26
24-27
38-27
25-31
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
219.6Avg total
113.3Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Season at home (4)114.0108.5222.5+5.5100%
Season away (6)112.8104.8217.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)107.699.6207.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)121.0113.0234.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)125.0110.3235.3+14.7100%
vs Weaker (26)108.8104.7213.5+4.262%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.5114.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.056.9113.9+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)60.657.5118.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)60.255.2115.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.556.7113.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)64.155.9120.0+8.290%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.5111.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.053.9108.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.9114.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.6103.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.058.0103.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)64.058.3122.3+5.7100%-
vs Weaker (26)55.855.1110.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.626.4
51.2%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.2
38.9%
34.9%42.6
🏀 Free throws30.222.5
74.5%
76.4%22.5
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.0
35.0%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws28.921.0
72.7%
76.4%21.0
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLLWWL
Detroit Pistons
WWLWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#3
+0.4
Net rating
+2.8
104.9
Offensive rating
101.9
104.6
Defensive rating
99.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
39.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.9%
3-point %
35.0%
58.6%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 101.9Defence104.6 · 99.1Shooting54.1% · 53.1%3-point %38.9% · 35.0%Ball care13.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds39.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
11/10/26AMiami Heat125-124
07/10/26AIndiana Pacers112-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93
24/10/26AMiami Heat128-111
20/10/26HBoston Celtics121-113
16/10/26HToronto Raptors129-125
15/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves128-106
10/10/26AWashington Wizards108-114 OT
05/10/26HPhoenix Suns109-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game119.2116.0121.0
Allowed / game114.2110.5116.3
Point differential+5.0+5.5+4.7
Avg total233.4226.5237.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game113.3114.0112.8
Allowed / game106.3108.5104.8
Point differential+7.0+5.5+8.0
Avg total219.6222.5217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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