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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 123-112
32-27 29-38 38-26 24-21
Position#24
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Jan 2027
IND v MIN
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
IND123
MIN112
07 Apr 2026
IND104
MIN124
24 Mar 2025
IND119
MIN103
07 Mar 2024
IND111
MIN113
23 Nov 2022
IND101
MIN115
13 Feb 2022
IND120
MIN129
07 Apr 2021
IND141
MIN137
17 Jan 2020
IND116
MIN114
28 Feb 2019
IND122
MIN115
31 Dec 2017
IND90
MIN107
28 Mar 2017
IND114
MIN115
13 Nov 2015
IND107
MIN103
13 Jan 2015
IND101
MIN110
25 Nov 2013
IND98
MIN84
13 Mar 2013
IND107
MIN91
16 Apr 2012
IND111
MIN88
11 Feb 2011
IND116
MIN105
02 Jan 2010
IND122
MIN111
03 Feb 2009
IND111
MIN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
130-137
130
137
-7
128avg 103
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
113-114
113
114
-1
114avg 103
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
135-118
135
118
+17
137avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
145-126
145
126
+19
141avg 103
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
108-129
108
129
-21
87avg 103
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-117
108
117
-9
100avg 103
A05/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
104-124
104
124
-20
89avg 103
H07/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-94
123
94
+29
130avg 103
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
94-105
94
105
-11
88avg 103
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-133
121
133
-12
102avg 103
H12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-45
31-30
26-30
45-32
42-21
18-29
28-36
25-28
34-36
45-39
29-32
27-11
39-33
44-33
34-26
28-34
24-38
26-31
32-31
26-29
32-31
26-24
33-35
17-27
27-35
26-28
24-39
27-22
31-14
32-23
35-35
25-22
21-28
30-30
26-31
17-16
27-41
36-40
26-27
32-25
237.8Avg total
118.1Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)118.1119.7237.8-1.630%
Last 5 (5)110.0114.6224.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)113.7125.6239.3-11.914%
vs Similar (9)119.3120.0239.3-0.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 109
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
108avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 109
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 109
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
76avg 109
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
95avg 109
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-109
114
109
+5
103avg 109
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
82avg 109
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-139
109
139
-30
81avg 109
H16/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
22-23
29-28
28-35
29-29
34-30
26-26
20-28
34-25
30-34
17-25
26-32
24-35
27-36
34-38
23-36
25-29
221.4Avg total
107.5Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.5113.9221.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)104.6124.4229.0-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)102.7115.4218.1-12.730%
vs Similar (16)114.4116.0230.4-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)131.8108.8240.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Indiana PacersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A05/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H07/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBA
124.8Avg total
61.9Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.663.5122.1-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.267.8127.1-8.615%-
Last 30 away (17)58.160.2118.3-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)61.962.9124.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.8116.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.865.9122.7-9.019%-
vs Similar (9)62.758.1120.8+4.656%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H16/05
NBA
106.5Avg total
51.8Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.2111.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.255.3113.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)54.455.1109.5-0.735%-
Last 10 (10)51.854.7106.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)50.859.8110.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.753.8103.5-4.130%-
vs Similar (16)57.556.4113.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.928.2
57.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.115.6
38.9%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
76.8%14.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.029.4
48.2%
54.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.1
33.0%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
76.8%18.4
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLWLLLWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWLWW
#24
League position
#5
-1.5
Net rating
-6.3
108.7
Offensive rating
105.7
110.2
Defensive rating
112.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
8.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.9%
3-point %
33.0%
75.6%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 105.7Defence110.2 · 112.0Shooting58.0% · 48.6%3-point %38.9% · 33.0%Ball care14.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds8.7% · 27.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HDetroit Pistons121-133
10/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers94-105
09/04/26ABrooklyn Nets123-94
07/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves104-124
05/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-117
03/04/26ACharlotte Hornets108-129
02/04/26AChicago Bulls145-126
29/03/26HMiami Heat135-118
27/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-114
25/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers130-137
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs109-139
13/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-126
10/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs114-109
09/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs108-115
07/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs95-133
05/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs104-102
01/05/26HDenver Nuggets110-98
28/04/26ADenver Nuggets113-125
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers32293824123
Minnesota Timberwolves27382621112
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