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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 15 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
3.0/10
🧊 Cold
Position#23
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Washington Wizards
14 Mar 2027
MIN v WAS
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
MIN120
WAS109
01 Feb 2025
MIN103
WAS105
09 Apr 2024
MIN130
WAS121
16 Feb 2023
MIN106
WAS114
05 Apr 2022
MIN114
WAS132
01 Jan 2021
MIN109
WAS130
15 Nov 2019
MIN116
WAS137
09 Mar 2019
MIN135
WAS130
28 Nov 2017
MIN89
WAS92
13 Mar 2017
MIN119
WAS104
02 Mar 2016
MIN98
WAS104
25 Feb 2015
MIN97
WAS77
27 Dec 2013
MIN120
WAS98
06 Mar 2013
MIN87
WAS82
13 Jan 2011
MIN109
WAS97
26 Dec 2009
MIN101
WAS89
09 Mar 2009
MIN99
WAS110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 105
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 105
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 105
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 105
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 105
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 105
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 97
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 97
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 97
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 97
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 97
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
140-144 OT
140
144
-4
136avg 97
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
32-33
29-31
29-30
31-27
223.3Avg total
107.6Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.0115.8225.8-5.831%
Season at home (5)114.0114.2228.2-0.240%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)107.6115.7223.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)111.8126.6238.4-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.4128.6240.0-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H13/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
54.9Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.462.2116.6-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.262.5117.7-7.48%-
Last 30 away (17)53.861.9115.8-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)54.959.6114.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.0114.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.265.0119.2-10.85%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.9
56.2%
54.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.0
34.2%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
77.3%19.6
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLWWLL
#7
League position
#23
+4.6
Net rating
-4.3
110.9
Offensive rating
111.7
106.3
Defensive rating
116.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
34.2%
57.6%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 111.7Defence106.3 · 116.0Shooting53.1% · 54.4%3-point %36.0% · 34.2%Ball care14.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDetroit Pistons140-144 OT
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%40%25%
Points / game110.0114.0107.5
Allowed / game115.8114.2116.8
Point differential-5.8-0.2-9.2
Avg total225.8228.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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