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Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 115-141
28-38 30-35 21-35 36-33
Position#30
Record9-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game123.9
vs
Position#10
Record22-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Minnesota Timberwolves
08 Jan 2027
WAS v MIN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
WAS115
MIN141
13 Jan 2025
WAS106
MIN120
24 Jan 2024
WAS107
MIN118
28 Nov 2022
WAS142
MIN127
01 Dec 2021
WAS115
MIN107
27 Feb 2021
WAS128
MIN112
02 Nov 2019
WAS109
MIN131
03 Mar 2019
WAS135
MIN121
13 Mar 2018
WAS111
MIN116
06 Jan 2017
WAS112
MIN105
25 Mar 2016
WAS129
MIN132
16 Dec 2014
WAS109
MIN95
19 Nov 2013
WAS104
MIN100
25 Jan 2013
WAS114
MIN101
08 Jan 2012
WAS72
MIN93
05 Mar 2011
WAS103
MIN96
17 Feb 2010
WAS108
MIN99
17 Feb 2009
WAS111
MIN103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
108-89
108
89
+19
99avg 98
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
94-119
94
119
-25
85avg 98
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
130-122
130
122
+8
126avg 98
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
113-124
113
124
-11
96avg 98
H22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
109-126
109
126
-17
95avg 98
A24/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
138-117
138
117
+21
136avg 98
H27/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
116-112
116
112
+4
108avg 98
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
101-115
101
115
-14
95avg 98
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
114-113
114
113
+1
106avg 98
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-99
119
99
+20
115avg 98
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
27-15
23-19
27-23
27-34
26-23
22-34
19-28
25-30
28-38
42-27
35-27
28-26
21-43
37-29
27-26
31-24
34-38
25-30
19-34
35-32
38-30
29-38
36-17
25-27
35-32
24-29
32-24
23-22
31-39
25-26
22-28
30-32
35-30
21-26
28-25
37-24
27-26
32-23
23-26
227.8Avg total
114.2Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)113.4123.9237.2-10.527%
Season at home (16)116.1125.2241.4-9.131%
Season away (17)110.8122.6233.4-11.824%
Last 10 (10)114.2113.6227.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)117.6111.2228.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)114.3125.9240.2-11.623%
vs Similar (4)104.8109.0213.8-4.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
107avg 109
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
98avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-107
112
107
+5
100avg 109
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 109
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 109
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 109
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 109
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 109
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
31-25
37-32
29-19
27-29
35-32
21-27
27-28
23-33
25-18
35-34
29-22
23-29
25-31
27-15
28-25
31-28
27-24
27-27
30-25
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
230.2Avg total
116.5Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)118.9114.6233.5+4.363%
Season at home (18)115.4110.1225.6+5.367%
Season away (17)122.6119.4242.0+3.359%
Last 10 (10)116.5113.7230.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)121.6121.4243.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)115.0114.7229.7+0.367%
vs Similar (9)117.0117.7234.7-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)123.3111.3234.5+12.080%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.9+5.9
Washington WizardsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A24/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H27/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H03/01
NBA
119.1Avg total
59.4Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.163.7121.8-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.263.9124.1-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)56.163.5119.5-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)59.459.7119.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)63.258.8122.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)58.364.9123.2-6.527%-
vs Similar (4)56.856.0112.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
111.0Avg total
54.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.4113.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.755.8114.5+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)55.557.0112.5-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)54.556.5111.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.657.8113.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.856.2110.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (9)53.258.9112.1-5.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)60.855.0115.8+5.860%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.430.5
53.1%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.412.3
34.7%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
78.1%16.3
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.428.4
55.3%
54.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.013.2
33.0%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.320.1
73.6%
78.1%20.1
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WWLWWLLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLLWWWLW
#30
League position
#10
+0.6
Net rating
+2.7
112.0
Offensive rating
111.6
111.5
Defensive rating
108.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.4%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
33.0%
58.4%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 111.6Defence111.5 · 108.9Shooting52.7% · 52.7%3-point %34.7% · 33.0%Ball care12.1% · 11.4%Off. rebounds28.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HBrooklyn Nets119-99
01/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks114-113
30/12/25HPhoenix Suns101-115
28/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies116-112
27/12/25HToronto Raptors138-117
24/12/25ACharlotte Hornets109-126
22/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs113-124
21/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies130-122
19/12/25ASan Antonio Spurs94-119
14/12/25AIndiana Pacers108-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT
24/12/25HNew York Knicks115-104
22/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks103-100
20/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-107
18/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies110-116
15/12/25HSacramento Kings117-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW27%
HomeLWWLW31%
AwayWLWLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %27%31%24%
Points / game113.4116.1110.8
Allowed / game123.9125.2122.6
Point differential-10.5-9.1-11.8
Avg total237.2241.4233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %63%67%59%
Points / game118.9115.4122.6
Allowed / game114.6110.1119.4
Point differential+4.3+5.3+3.3
Avg total233.5225.6242.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%39%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3329488%122.3107.6+14.8
2 Detroit Pistons3526974%118.8112.7+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers31211068%117.1116.9+0.2
5 Denver Nuggets35231266%124.3118.1+6.2
6 Houston Rockets32211166%120.0111.4+8.6
7 Boston Celtics34221265%117.9110.7+7.1
8 New York Knicks33211264%120.2115.2+5.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves35221363%118.9114.6+4.3
10 Phoenix Suns33201361%116.3112.7+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors35211460%114.8112.5+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat34191556%121.1117.6+3.5
14 Orlando Magic34191556%117.0115.2+1.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers37201754%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors36191753%115.2113.9+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls35171849%118.3121.8-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks37172046%119.0119.9-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
20 Memphis Grizzlies34151944%116.0116.9-0.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks35152043%113.3116.0-2.7
22 Dallas Mavericks36132336%113.5117.5-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers34122235%112.4114.6-2.2
24 Utah Jazz34122235%119.7126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets35122334%115.8118.5-2.6
26 Brooklyn Nets33112233%109.5114.3-4.8
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3582723%110.6122.5-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans3682822%115.4123.1-7.7
30 Indiana Pacers3663017%110.6119.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards28302136115
Minnesota Timberwolves38353533141
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