PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota vs Alcorn State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#389
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game90.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota v Alcorn State
20 Dec 2026
MINN v ALCO
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
MINN95
ALCO50
29 Dec 2022
MINN v ALCO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
39-29
28-37
31-29
36-43
41-25
44-25
40-22
36-40
30-30
33-31
46-26
45-35
138.1Avg total
72.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.858.5137.2+20.2100%
Season at home (3)84.057.7141.7+26.3100%
Season away (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.166.0138.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)76.461.2137.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar (6)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.559.2132.7+14.473%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
48-83
48
83
-35
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A09/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#4
L
58-99
58
99
-41
A03/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A11/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#120
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
35-35
22-36
29-36
38-23
29-41
19-37
29-46
32-31
45-34
26-22
30-43
31-52
27-47
32-47
51-47
30-51
27-43
33-29
36-44
145.4Avg total
65.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.890.0156.8-23.20%
Season at home (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Season away (3)61.388.7150.0-27.30%
Last 10 (10)65.380.1145.4-14.820%
Last 5 (5)64.685.0149.6-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)65.180.8145.9-15.723%
vs Similar (2)84.577.0161.5+7.550%
vs Weaker (2)70.565.0135.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
MinnesotaAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.365.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.161.9-2.318%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.464.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.031.765.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.227.262.4+8.082%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#4
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A11/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#120
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A14/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
30.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.238.169.3-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.534.465.9-2.818%-
Last 30 away (19)31.140.271.3-9.226%-
Last 10 (10)30.436.967.3-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.270.6-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.538.769.2-8.319%-
vs Similar (2)35.543.579.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (2)37.024.061.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minnesota wins
0
Alcorn State wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Minnesota v Alcorn State95-50
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSouthern Univ.91-61
10/11/26ACincinnati63-61
07/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-62
03/11/26HNorth Dakota85-50
12/03/26HRutgers67-72
08/03/26HNorthwestern67-66
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATarleton69-73
11/11/26AMurray State57-94
06/11/26HHoward83-94
03/11/26AOle Miss58-99
10/03/26APrairie View A&M56-65
09/03/26AAlabama State77-65
06/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff48-83
04/03/26HMiss. Valley St.67-64
28/02/26APrairie View A&M51-72
27/02/26ATexas Southern87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.063.0
Allowed / game58.557.761.0
Point differential+20.2+26.3+2.0
Avg total137.2141.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.883.061.3
Allowed / game90.094.088.7
Point differential-23.2-11.0-27.3
Avg total156.8177.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.