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Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game58.5
Minnesota
USA
vs
Purdue
USA
Position#126
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota v Purdue
17 Jan 2027
MINN v PURD
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
MINN61
PURD81
19 Jan 2023
MINN39
PURD61
02 Feb 2022
MINN73
PURD88
11 Feb 2021
MINN71
PURD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
39-29
28-37
31-29
36-43
41-25
44-25
40-22
36-40
30-30
33-31
46-26
45-35
138.1Avg total
72.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.858.5137.2+20.2100%
Season at home (3)84.057.7141.7+26.3100%
Season away (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.166.0138.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)76.461.2137.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar (6)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.559.2132.7+14.473%
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
38-38
42-34
45-33
59-38
38-40
41-29
39-35
40-42
38-31
26-48
36-33
42-39
32-20
26-38
36-28
40-31
37-28
43-34
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.0146.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.780.7155.3-6.033%
vs Similar (9)77.869.8147.6+8.078%
vs Weaker (18)80.872.2152.9+8.672%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
MinnesotaPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.365.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.161.9-2.318%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.464.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.031.765.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.227.262.4+8.082%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.271.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.273.8+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.868.4+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.368.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.969.7+5.978%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.871.7+6.172%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minnesota wins
8
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Purdue v Minnesota85-57
03/01/25Minnesota v Purdue61-81
16/02/24Purdue v Minnesota84-76
20/01/23Minnesota v Purdue39-61
04/12/22Purdue v Minnesota89-70
03/02/22Minnesota v Purdue73-88
11/02/21Minnesota v Purdue71-68
31/01/21Purdue v Minnesota81-62
03/01/20Purdue v Minnesota83-78 OT
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSouthern Univ.91-61
10/11/26ACincinnati63-61
07/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-62
03/11/26HNorth Dakota85-50
12/03/26HRutgers67-72
08/03/26HNorthwestern67-66
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio80-62
10/11/26HIllinois State76-59
06/11/26HValparaiso80-83 OT
03/11/26HGonzaga78-72
29/03/26AArizona64-79
26/03/26HTexas79-77
22/03/26HMiami (FL)79-69
20/03/26HQueens Royals104-71
15/03/26AMichigan80-72
14/03/26AUCLA73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.063.0
Allowed / game58.557.761.0
Point differential+20.2+26.3+2.0
Avg total137.2141.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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