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Minsk vs Saratov Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 62-82
10-15 15-26 15-13 22-28
Position#14
Record1-35
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Saratov 🏆
Russia
Position#10
Record17-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
RussiaVTB United League· Minsk-Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Minsk v Saratov
03 Apr 2024
MIN62
SAR82
22 Nov 2023
MIN76
SAR91
12 Mar 2023
MIN81
SAR65
17 Oct 2022
MIN72
SAR97
27 Mar 2022
MIN64
SAR72
07 Nov 2020
MIN69
SAR86
12 Jan 2020
MIN88
SAR80
05 Jan 2019
MIN86
SAR93
19 Nov 2017
MIN82
SAR85
16 Oct 2016
MIN89
SAR83
10 Mar 2016
MIN83
SAR106
04 Mar 2015
MIN99
SAR119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H17/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A20/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H24/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H27/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
A31/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-21
13-25
23-16
17-18
25-29
19-13
16-29
12-19
11-15
21-22
14-25
16-28
21-20
19-14
14-14
22-25
18-27
10-8
10-13
21-18
13-25
19-12
33-41
16-16
18-24
15-14
12-20
16-19
26-16
14-25
23-26
21-14
15-18
17-11
7-15
26-16
8-17
25-24
13-15
149.8Avg total
70.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)70.087.0156.9-17.03%
Season at home (18)71.587.2158.7-15.76%
Season away (18)68.486.7155.2-18.30%
Last 10 (10)70.179.7149.8-9.610%
Last 5 (5)73.079.8152.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.486.4156.7-16.03%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H09/02
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A12/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H03/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H10/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H21/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A25/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H28/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H31/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-18
19-14
22-26
20-16
17-22
24-13
21-14
19-12
15-11
22-21
25-14
16-20
25-12
19-18
24-13
19-27
28-17
20-12
14-18
20-25
20-15
19-27
26-15
20-15
19-12
6-21
21-22
17-21
20-27
18-19
11-15
13-15
24-18
23-21
11-20
28-21
24-18
18-11
22-33
151.7Avg total
78.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.579.3157.8-0.847%
Season at home (19)80.380.3160.6+0.042%
Season away (17)76.578.1154.6-1.653%
Last 10 (10)78.872.9151.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)76.078.2154.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.789.3162.0-16.60%
vs Similar (14)76.977.5154.4-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.771.6158.2+15.1100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
MinskSaratov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A20/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H24/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A31/03
VTB United League
75.9Avg total
35.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.743.277.9-8.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.943.779.7-7.820%-
Last 30 away (15)33.442.776.1-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.275.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.672.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.743.277.9-8.617%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H09/02
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H03/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H10/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H21/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A25/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/03
VTB United League
76.5Avg total
40.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.779.3+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.180.2+0.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.276.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.478.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.343.682.9-4.30%-
vs Similar (14)40.437.677.9+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.137.080.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.7
49.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
-11.4
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LWLLLLLLLL
Saratov
WLLLWWWWWW
#14
League position
#10
-33.5
Net rating
-19.1
91.1
Offensive rating
100.9
124.7
Defensive rating
120.0
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
22.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
35.9%
61.9%
Assist %
65.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Minsk   ■ Saratov
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minsk wins
9
Saratov wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Saratov v Minsk81-58
03/02/24Saratov v Minsk105-63
22/11/23Minsk v Saratov76-91
12/03/23Minsk v Saratov81-65
14/02/23Saratov v Minsk78-70
22/12/22Saratov v Minsk88-77
17/10/22Minsk v Saratov72-97
27/03/22Minsk v Saratov64-72
16/10/21Saratov v Minsk95-79
28/02/21Saratov v Minsk113-66
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg79-85 OT
27/03/24HAstana60-58
24/03/24HRuna Moscow79-86
20/03/24ANizhny Novgorod61-74
17/03/24HSamara86-96
09/03/24HMBA Moscow60-73
06/03/24AAstana70-76
03/03/24ASaratov58-81
13/02/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg77-89
10/02/24ASamara71-79
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HAstana92-83
28/03/24HMBA Moscow71-74
25/03/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg66-82
21/03/24HSamara66-70
14/03/24ARuna Moscow85-82
10/03/24HNizhny Novgorod81-74
06/03/24AMBA Moscow84-63
03/03/24HMinsk81-58
12/02/24AAstana82-65
09/02/24HRuna Moscow80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL3%
HomeLLLLW6%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %3%6%0%
Points / game70.071.568.4
Allowed / game87.087.286.7
Point differential-17.0-15.7-18.3
Avg total156.9158.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Saratov
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW42%
AwayLWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %47%42%53%
Points / game78.580.376.5
Allowed / game79.380.378.1
Point differential-0.8+0.0-1.6
Avg total157.8160.6154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%16%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan3425974%85.976.0+10.0
2 CSKA Moscow3425974%86.777.3+9.4
3 Zenit Petersburg33231070%83.774.7+9.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban33221167%84.579.8+4.7
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg36221461%81.978.8+3.1
6 Parma Perm33191458%79.277.6+1.5
7 Samara36201656%78.979.3-0.4
8 Enisey33171652%83.583.3+0.1
9 Saratov36171947%78.579.3-0.8
10 MBA Moscow36152142%75.277.4-2.2
11 Runa Moscow36142239%78.181.3-3.2
12 Nizhny Novgorod36122433%73.977.9-4.1
13 Astana36122433%74.482.3-7.9
14 Minsk361353%70.087.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1015152262
Saratov1526132882
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