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Mississippi St. vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 90-95
44-49 46-46
Position#116
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.5
Mississippi St.
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#71
Record12-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Kentucky
20 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
MISS90
KENT95
27 Feb 2024
MISS89
KENT91
15 Feb 2023
MISS68
KENT71
02 Jan 2021
MISS73
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A29/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
35-26
34-40
43-47
47-25
43-32
44-44
47-40
29-29
37-34
32-25
51-34
48-32
31-34
52-45
35-28
43-18
42-32
39-28
37-36
147.5Avg total
81.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.566.5150.0+16.993%
Season at home (10)86.766.8153.5+19.990%
Season away (5)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.466.1147.5+15.390%
Last 5 (5)82.062.4144.4+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.472.2143.6-0.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.971.8149.7+6.167%
vs Weaker (10)83.765.8149.5+17.990%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
105-76
105
76
+29
H30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A08/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H12/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#184
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H31/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
106-100
106
100
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
42-35
48-33
57-43
30-37
36-33
34-50
45-29
38-36
40-31
46-40
47-45
30-39
35-46
39-27
49-27
52-42
54-58
34-47
35-35
162.3Avg total
84.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.873.9162.7+14.980%
Season at home (11)93.672.4166.0+21.391%
Season away (4)75.578.2153.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)84.777.6162.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.681.8167.4+3.880%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.184.8170.9+1.344%
vs Weaker (16)90.573.4163.9+17.181%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.8+5.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.8+5.8
Mississippi St.Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
41.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.369.7+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.833.272.1+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)33.733.467.1+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.873.1+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.829.672.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.630.663.2+2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.035.370.3-0.340%-
vs Weaker (10)40.531.672.1+8.980%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A04/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A08/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#184
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/01
NCAA
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.777.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.036.580.5+7.575%-
Last 30 away (10)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.738.077.7+1.756%-
vs Weaker (16)42.834.477.2+8.375%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
6
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
28/02/24Mississippi St. v Kentucky89-91
18/01/24Kentucky v Mississippi St.90-77
16/02/23Mississippi St. v Kentucky68-71
26/01/22Kentucky v Mississippi St.82-74 OT
11/03/21Kentucky v Mississippi St.73-74
02/01/21Mississippi St. v Kentucky73-78 OT
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AVanderbilt76-64
04/01/25HSouth Carolina85-50
31/12/24HBethune-Cookman87-73
21/12/24AMemphis79-66
18/12/24HCentral Michigan83-59
14/12/24AMcNeese State66-63
08/12/24HPrairie View A&M91-84
05/12/24HPittsburgh90-57
30/11/24HButler77-87
29/11/24AUNLV80-58
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AGeorgia69-82
04/01/25HFlorida106-100
31/12/24HBrown88-54
21/12/24HOhio State65-85
14/12/24HLouisville93-85
12/12/24HColgate78-67
08/12/24AGonzaga90-89 OT
04/12/24AClemson66-70
30/11/24HGeorgia State105-76
26/11/24HWestern Kentucky87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %93%90%100%
Points / game83.586.777.0
Allowed / game66.566.866.0
Point differential+16.9+19.9+11.0
Avg total150.0153.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL80%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %80%91%50%
Points / game88.893.675.5
Allowed / game73.972.478.2
Point differential+14.9+21.3-2.8
Avg total162.7166.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida1615194%86.264.8+21.4
2 Auburn1615194%86.666.0+20.6
3 Tennessee1615194%77.157.9+19.2
4 Mississippi St.1514193%83.566.5+16.9
5 Georgia1614288%79.964.2+15.7
6 Ole Miss1614288%79.064.6+14.4
7 Alabama1614288%91.177.4+13.7
8 Missouri1613381%85.168.5+16.6
9 Vanderbilt1613381%83.467.6+15.8
10 Texas A&M1613381%77.465.4+12.0
11 Oklahoma1613381%81.271.1+10.1
12 Kentucky1512380%88.873.9+14.9
13 Texas1611569%81.965.4+16.4
14 LSU1611569%81.269.4+11.8
15 Arkansas1611569%78.466.9+11.4
16 South Carolina1610662%72.868.2+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.444690
Kentucky494695
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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