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Mississippi St. vs Kentucky Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#136
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Kentucky
20 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
MISS90
KENT95
27 Feb 2024
MISS89
KENT91
15 Feb 2023
MISS68
KENT71
02 Jan 2021
MISS73
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
106-88
106
88
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
50-51
33-63
42-37
23-54
41-34
35-47
39-61
47-42
49-60
33-30
28-49
53-37
53-51
49-27
33-17
51-29
47-28
31-41
32-40
165.2Avg total
80.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season at home (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.884.4165.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.069.8151.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.685.2159.8-10.725%
vs Similar (7)82.673.1155.7+9.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.363.0158.3+32.3100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#320
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#286
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#378
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
28-37
35-34
29-31
44-42
30-31
33-51
48-22
37-35
39-39
50-41
36-46
33-43
45-37
33-40
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season at home (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.682.1153.7-10.614%
vs Similar (16)79.877.6157.3+2.269%
vs Weaker (7)83.970.4154.3+13.4100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
Mississippi St.Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
23-54
23
54
-31
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/11
NCAA
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.236.373.5+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.877.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.876.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.140.475.5-5.235%-
vs Similar (7)38.333.171.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#320
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#286
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#378
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.072.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.736.774.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.072.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (16)34.638.172.7-3.631%-
vs Weaker (7)39.931.371.1+8.686%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
8
Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HXavier63-81
10/11/26HJackson State98-57
06/11/26HNorthwestern St.82-44
03/11/26HTennessee Tech106-88
11/03/26AAuburn61-79
07/03/26HGeorgia96-102
04/03/26AFlorida74-108
28/02/26HMissouri64-88
26/02/26AAlabama75-100
21/02/26ASouth Carolina89-97
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Arizona78-77
11/11/26HKansas69-89
07/11/26HJames Madison89-80
04/11/26HManhattan85-57
22/03/26AIowa State63-82
20/03/26HSanta Clara89-84 OT
13/03/26AFlorida63-71
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game87.287.2-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+19.8+19.8-
Avg total154.8154.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game80.280.2-
Allowed / game75.875.8-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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