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Mississippi St. vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-91
43-35 46-56
Position#130
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#50
Record19-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Kentucky
20 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
MISS90
KENT95
27 Feb 2024
MISS89
KENT91
15 Feb 2023
MISS68
KENT71
02 Jan 2021
MISS73
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
32-34
34-43
36-36
21-21
43-37
39-39
43-47
24-47
43-52
36-28
39-34
30-26
45-25
34-29
37-38
40-44
43-27
40-33
47-34
143.7Avg total
74.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.967.5142.4+7.470%
Season at home (17)76.464.2140.5+12.288%
Season away (10)72.573.1145.6-0.640%
Last 10 (10)74.269.5143.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)78.263.6141.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.873.0139.8-6.250%
vs Similar (15)74.670.3144.9+4.353%
vs Weaker (11)74.061.5135.5+12.591%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
117-95
117
95
+22
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
37-46
24-26
39-31
41-36
43-48
42-46
50-57
54-38
55-39
32-42
53-47
43-29
32-34
39-29
31-30
36-27
38-48
58-42
59-53
162.9Avg total
83.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.777.9166.6+10.870%
Season at home (19)91.778.9170.6+12.874%
Season away (8)81.575.6157.1+5.962%
Last 10 (10)83.879.1162.9+4.750%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
vs Similar (9)84.684.1168.7+0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.574.1162.6+14.579%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +0.4+0.4
Mississippi St.Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.031.765.7+2.355%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.128.864.9+7.471%-
Last 30 away (12)31.035.866.8-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.166.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.068.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.532.859.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (14)34.634.569.1+0.143%-
vs Weaker (11)36.027.763.7+8.382%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H24/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.335.878.1+6.469%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.436.681.0+7.780%-
Last 30 away (9)37.734.071.7+3.744%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.874.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.875.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.879.1+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.034.478.4+9.678%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
5
Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24ALSU87-67
22/02/24HOle Miss83-71
17/02/24HArkansas71-67
11/02/24AMissouri75-51
08/02/24HGeorgia75-62
04/02/24AAlabama67-99
31/01/24AOle Miss82-86
27/01/24HAuburn64-58
25/01/24AFlorida70-79
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HAlabama117-95
22/02/24ALSU74-75
17/02/24AAuburn70-59
14/02/24HOle Miss75-63
10/02/24HGonzaga85-89
07/02/24AVanderbilt109-77
04/02/24HTennessee92-103
01/02/24HFlorida91-94 OT
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %70%88%40%
Points / game74.976.472.5
Allowed / game67.564.273.1
Point differential+7.4+12.2-0.6
Avg total142.4140.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%59%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeLLLWW74%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27198
Win %70%74%62%
Points / game88.791.781.5
Allowed / game77.978.975.6
Point differential+10.8+12.8+5.9
Avg total166.6170.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2722581%71.865.1+6.6
2 Auburn2721678%82.767.3+15.4
3 Tennessee2721678%80.366.6+13.7
4 Alabama2719870%91.178.9+12.2
5 Kentucky2719870%88.777.9+10.8
6 Oklahoma2719870%76.267.2+9.0
7 Florida2719870%84.877.1+7.6
8 Mississippi St.2719870%74.967.5+7.4
9 Ole Miss2719870%75.172.2+3.0
10 Texas27171063%75.368.6+6.8
11 Texas A&M27151256%73.270.4+2.9
12 Georgia27151256%76.174.9+1.2
13 LSU27141352%76.874.8+2.0
14 Arkansas27141352%75.777.7-2.0
15 Missouri2781930%72.074.9-2.9
16 Vanderbilt2772026%66.174.4-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.434689
Kentucky355691
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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