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Missouri State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 52-49
30-23 22-26
Position#177
Record6-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#24
Record11-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Drake
21 Nov 2026
MISS v DRAK
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
MISS62
DRAK69
24 Jan 2024
MISS83
DRAK80
01 Jan 2023
MISS52
DRAK49
02 Jan 2022
MISS61
DRAK56
27 Jan 2021
MISS73
DRAK78
26 Jan 2021
MISS61
DRAK68
12 Feb 2020
MISS97
DRAK62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
26-39
38-35
26-32
33-33
43-31
32-26
34-25
18-26
22-32
21-26
25-40
29-30
32-35
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
128.6Avg total
64.2Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.462.2128.5+4.246%
Season at home (5)67.455.8123.2+11.660%
Season away (8)65.866.1131.9-0.438%
Last 10 (10)64.264.4128.6-0.240%
Last 5 (5)68.467.2135.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.368.0122.3-13.70%
vs Similar (9)67.165.1132.2+2.044%
vs Weaker (16)77.367.3144.6+10.081%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H03/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
124-48
124
48
+76
H21/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
36-39
40-23
36-41
34-42
39-33
39-19
38-45
29-26
49-39
25-47
27-35
41-40
34-43
23-31
35-21
59-22
65-26
24-26
44-37
141.2Avg total
75.2Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.264.9140.1+10.479%
Season at home (9)80.160.9141.0+19.2100%
Season away (5)66.472.0138.4-5.640%
Last 10 (10)75.266.0141.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)75.465.6141.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)71.470.5141.9+0.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)74.963.7138.6+11.289%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
Missouri StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.1Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.765.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.729.565.2+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)32.933.666.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.962.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.064.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)23.732.356.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (9)33.830.264.0+3.656%-
vs Weaker (16)34.931.966.8+3.175%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H30/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.129.464.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.226.761.9+8.574%-
Last 30 away (11)34.834.269.0+0.655%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.165.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.267.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)34.231.065.2+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.228.763.9+6.568%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri State wins
4
Drake wins
DateGameScore
10/02/22Drake v Missouri State62-66
03/01/22Missouri State v Drake61-56
06/03/21Drake v Missouri State71-69
28/01/21Missouri State v Drake73-78
27/01/21Missouri State v Drake61-68
13/02/20Missouri State v Drake97-62
26/01/20Drake v Missouri State71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
11/12/22HIPFW61-65
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
04/12/22HBradley40-58
01/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)66-51
27/11/22AOakland76-64
26/11/22ABall State64-67
25/11/22ANC Wilmington54-68
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HValparaiso68-63
21/12/22HSt. Ambrose124-48
20/12/22HMississippi St.58-52
18/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
10/12/22ARichmond Spiders52-82
08/12/22HNebraska O.78-65
03/12/22HIllinois (Chi.)77-64
01/12/22AIndiana State73-75
26/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette76-64
22/11/22ATarleton71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%60%38%
Points / game66.467.465.8
Allowed / game62.255.866.1
Point differential+4.2+11.6-0.4
Avg total128.5123.2131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%100%40%
Points / game75.280.166.4
Allowed / game64.960.972.0
Point differential+10.4+19.2-5.6
Avg total140.1141.0138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1411379%78.955.3+23.6
2 Liberty1410471%76.160.6+15.6
3 Kennesaw State149564%72.466.1+6.3
4 Middle Tenn. St.149564%71.165.7+5.4
5 Western Kentucky138562%74.767.5+7.2
6 Delaware159660%70.770.7-0.1
7 Louisiana Tech148657%77.768.2+9.5
8 UTEP148657%70.367.2+3.1
9 New Mexico State147750%77.267.8+9.4
10 Jacksonville State147750%73.671.6+2.0
11 Missouri State136746%66.462.2+4.2
12 Florida International136746%73.475.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1411379%75.264.9+10.4
2 Indiana State1511473%81.270.1+11.1
3 Southern Illinois1410471%68.561.6+6.9
4 Bradley1510567%69.358.7+10.5
5 Belmont149564%76.172.1+4.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)159660%66.967.5-0.7
7 Murray State148657%71.468.6+2.7
8 Northern Iowa146843%69.666.0+3.6
9 Illinois State156940%66.268.3-2.1
10 Valparaiso156940%68.373.3-5.0
11 Evansville1541127%62.072.3-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State302252
Drake232649
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