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Drake vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-63
24-26 44-37
Position#24
Record10-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game65.0
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#306
Record6-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Drake v Valparaiso
12 Jan 2027
DRAK v VALP
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DRAK76
VALP81
22 Jan 2025
DRAK81
VALP71
31 Jan 2024
DRAK81
VALP70
29 Dec 2022
DRAK68
VALP63
02 Dec 2021
DRAK73
VALP66
19 Feb 2020
DRAK77
VALP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H03/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
124-48
124
48
+76
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-18
27-38
35-25
36-39
40-23
36-41
34-42
39-33
39-19
38-45
29-26
49-39
25-47
27-35
41-40
34-43
23-31
35-21
59-22
65-26
139.8Avg total
74.5Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.865.0140.8+10.877%
Season at home (8)81.660.6142.2+21.0100%
Season away (5)66.472.0138.4-5.640%
Last 10 (10)74.565.3139.8+9.270%
Last 5 (5)77.466.0143.4+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.471.6143.0-0.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.363.7139.0+11.689%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
36-37
38-37
27-33
37-43
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
42-29
29-37
36-20
41-47
141.4Avg total
68.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.274.2144.3-4.046%
Season at home (8)74.267.4141.6+6.975%
Season away (5)63.685.0148.6-21.40%
Last 10 (10)68.772.7141.4-4.050%
Last 5 (5)75.073.6148.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.675.2137.8-12.68%
vs Similar (13)71.574.4145.8-2.954%
vs Weaker (4)80.861.0141.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
DrakeValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H21/12
NCAA
65.2Avg total
35.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.429.965.3+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.827.463.2+8.474%-
Last 30 away (11)34.834.269.0+0.655%-
Last 10 (10)35.929.365.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)34.331.866.1+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.828.864.7+7.072%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H21/12
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.766.1-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.264.6+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)28.839.268.1-10.423%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.465.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.670.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.235.562.7-8.215%-
vs Similar (13)32.335.667.9-3.346%-
vs Weaker (4)42.029.271.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
20/02/20Drake v Valparaiso77-75 OT
11/01/20Valparaiso v Drake66-61
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HSt. Ambrose124-48
20/12/22HMississippi St.58-52
18/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
10/12/22ARichmond Spiders52-82
08/12/22HNebraska O.78-65
03/12/22HIllinois (Chi.)77-64
01/12/22AIndiana State73-75
26/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette76-64
22/11/22ATarleton71-64
20/11/22AWyoming61-56
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HStonehill77-67
18/12/22HElon71-66
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT
02/12/22ABelmont64-76
27/11/22HJames Madison81-79 OT
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game75.881.666.4
Allowed / game65.060.672.0
Point differential+10.8+21.0-5.6
Avg total140.8142.2138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%75%0%
Points / game70.274.263.6
Allowed / game74.267.485.0
Point differential-4.0+6.9-21.4
Avg total144.3141.6148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %15%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1310377%75.865.0+10.8
2 Indiana State1410471%82.171.5+10.6
3 Southern Illinois1410471%68.561.6+6.9
4 Bradley149564%68.659.7+8.9
5 Belmont149564%76.172.1+4.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)149564%68.466.7+1.7
7 Murray State137654%70.869.2+1.6
8 Valparaiso136746%70.274.2-4.0
9 Illinois State146843%66.668.4-1.8
10 Northern Iowa135838%69.966.5+3.5
11 Evansville1441029%62.171.9-9.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake244468
Valparaiso263763
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