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Drake vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-66
30-29 32-37
Position#64
Record17-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#49
Record17-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Drake v Missouri State
02 Mar 2025
DRAK68
MISS60
02 Dec 2023
DRAK74
MISS57
18 Jan 2023
DRAK62
MISS65
09 Feb 2022
DRAK62
MISS66
06 Mar 2021
DRAK71
MISS69
26 Jan 2020
DRAK71
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
A27/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
27-38
27-33
33-26
44-42
42-33
35-27
25-32
35-40
36-43
34-41
36-29
37-38
42-41
32-31
45-37
42-37
43-30
36-34
27-29
144.3Avg total
73.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.567.2142.7+8.371%
Season at home (16)76.465.2141.6+11.169%
Season away (8)73.871.0144.8+2.875%
Last 10 (10)73.570.8144.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)80.474.2154.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.868.8138.6+1.030%
vs Weaker (18)73.967.6141.5+6.483%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
44-34
44-29
35-33
44-36
29-41
43-35
28-21
44-37
29-24
40-30
29-28
33-43
143.0Avg total
75.2Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.467.1144.5+10.468%
Season at home (15)79.368.1147.4+11.167%
Season away (10)74.765.5140.2+9.270%
Last 10 (10)75.267.8143.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)70.865.6136.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.665.4134.0+3.262%
vs Weaker (20)78.568.0146.5+10.670%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +4.2+4.2
DrakeMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H05/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.866.5+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.630.867.4+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)32.033.265.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.669.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.272.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.733.366.0-0.640%-
vs Weaker (18)34.632.166.7+2.550%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H06/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.666.8+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.930.266.1+5.775%-
Last 30 away (14)36.631.067.6+5.679%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.764.6+3.290%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.459.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.229.861.0+1.575%-
vs Weaker (20)37.430.467.8+6.980%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
03/01/22Missouri State v Drake61-56
06/03/21Drake v Missouri State71-69
28/01/21Missouri State v Drake73-78
27/01/21Missouri State v Drake61-68
13/02/20Missouri State v Drake97-62
26/01/20Drake v Missouri State71-69
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HNorthern Iowa69-74 OT
03/02/22AIndiana State85-67
30/01/22HLoyola Chicago77-68
27/01/22AIllinois State89-88 OT
22/01/22ANorthern Iowa82-74 OT
20/01/22HBradley71-83
18/01/22ASouthern Illinois60-59
13/01/22HIllinois State86-75
08/01/22AEvansville60-59
03/01/22AMissouri State56-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/22HLoyola Chicago62-71
03/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-54
30/01/22HEvansville72-58
26/01/22AIndiana State72-76
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69
20/01/22HIllinois State88-63
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %71%69%75%
Points / game75.576.473.8
Allowed / game67.265.271.0
Point differential+8.3+11.1+2.8
Avg total142.7141.6144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %21%12%38%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game77.479.374.7
Allowed / game67.168.165.5
Point differential+10.4+11.1+9.2
Avg total144.5147.4140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%47%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2422292%81.262.9+18.3
2 Belmont2520580%81.969.9+12.0
3 Drake2417771%75.567.2+8.3
4 Northern Iowa2213959%74.769.6+5.0
5 Bradley24131154%71.865.3+6.5
6 Southern Illinois24121250%63.760.9+2.8
7 Valparaiso23111248%71.770.6+1.1
8 Illinois State24101442%77.176.7+0.4
9 Indiana State2391439%71.471.1+0.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)2181338%70.572.8-2.2
11 Evansville2261627%58.768.3-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State2219386%74.766.0+8.7
2 Louisiana Tech2317674%78.168.8+9.3
3 Liberty2518772%73.461.0+12.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.2215768%75.168.0+7.1
5 Missouri State2517868%77.467.1+10.4
6 Jacksonville State2416867%74.667.7+7.0
7 Delaware2315865%75.471.3+4.1
8 UTEP2314961%68.765.2+3.4
9 Sam Houston St.25141156%70.064.0+6.0
10 Western Kentucky23121152%76.469.7+6.7
11 Kennesaw State24111346%74.969.5+5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake303262
Missouri State293766
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