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Missouri State vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Postponed
Position#177
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game61.8
vs
Position#20
Record10-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game52.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2026
MISS71
SAM 80
09 Dec 2023
MISS69
SAM 60
22 Dec 2022
MISS v SAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
34-29
28-29
26-39
38-35
26-32
33-33
43-31
32-26
34-25
18-26
22-32
21-26
25-40
29-30
32-35
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
126.6Avg total
63.8Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.361.8127.1+3.642%
Season at home (5)67.455.8123.2+11.660%
Season away (7)63.966.0129.9-2.129%
Last 10 (10)63.862.8126.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)60.665.4126.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.368.0122.3-13.70%
vs Similar (8)65.664.9130.5+0.838%
vs Weaker (17)76.967.4144.4+9.582%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#591
W
84-48
84
48
+36
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A18/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
80-49
80
49
+31
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
111-58
111
58
+53
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A15/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
107-26
107
26
+81
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-16
39-32
27-23
38-32
41-22
47-32
33-19
47-30
28-29
32-49
67-31
44-27
20-32
31-33
31-26
48-27
39-34
30-28
55-10
52-16
134.2Avg total
79.4Scored
54.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.552.7133.2+27.883%
Season at home (4)105.541.2146.8+64.2100%
Season away (8)68.058.4126.4+9.675%
Last 10 (10)79.454.8134.2+24.680%
Last 5 (5)83.452.8136.2+30.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.065.6126.6-4.660%
vs Similar (7)63.156.3119.4+6.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.154.8131.9+22.383%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +14.4+14.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +10.2+10.2
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +14.4+14.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +10.2+10.2
Missouri StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
61.4Avg total
31.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.866.1+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.729.565.2+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)32.933.966.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.261.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)28.031.459.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)23.732.356.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (8)33.030.463.4+2.650%-
vs Weaker (17)35.331.967.2+3.476%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#591
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
55-10
55
10
+45
H20/12
NCAA
62.8Avg total
38.6Scored
24.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.426.160.5+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.221.260.4+17.992%-
Last 30 away (18)31.229.460.6+1.861%-
Last 10 (10)38.624.262.8+14.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.426.669.0+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.430.661.0-0.260%-
vs Similar (7)31.624.956.4+6.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.625.461.9+11.278%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
18/11/21Sam Houston St. v Missouri State55-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
11/12/22HIPFW61-65
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
04/12/22HBradley40-58
01/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)66-51
27/11/22AOakland76-64
26/11/22ABall State64-67
25/11/22ANC Wilmington54-68
19/11/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HArlington Baptist Patriots107-26
17/12/22ATexas State69-62
15/12/22ALouisiana Monroe79-53
07/12/22AOklahoma State51-65
03/12/22HDallas Christian111-58
29/11/22ANevada60-78
23/11/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes80-49
22/11/22ANorthern Illinois88-54
18/11/22AUtah Utes65-55
15/11/22HLe Tourneau84-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game65.367.463.9
Allowed / game61.855.866.0
Point differential+3.6+11.6-2.1
Avg total127.1123.2129.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game80.5105.568.0
Allowed / game52.741.258.4
Point differential+27.8+64.2+9.6
Avg total133.2146.8126.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1210283%80.552.7+27.8
2 Western Kentucky118373%75.766.5+9.3
3 UTEP118373%72.567.5+5.0
4 Liberty139469%76.661.2+15.5
5 Kennesaw State128467%73.165.9+7.2
6 Middle Tenn. St.128467%72.064.8+7.2
7 Delaware138562%71.570.9+0.6
8 New Mexico State127558%78.766.2+12.4
9 Louisiana Tech127558%77.668.2+9.4
10 Jacksonville State126650%74.272.0+2.2
11 Florida International115645%75.376.8-1.5
12 Missouri State125742%65.361.8+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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