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Missouri State vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-80
33-38 38-42
Position#223
Record12-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#69
Record13-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri State v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2026
MISS71
SAM 80
09 Dec 2023
MISS69
SAM 60
22 Dec 2022
MISS v SAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
33-31
51-44
21-31
41-26
147.8Avg total
76.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.672.2147.8+3.460%
Season at home (11)80.569.2149.7+11.482%
Season away (9)69.675.8145.3-6.233%
Last 10 (10)76.371.5147.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.876.0152.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.774.4143.1-5.817%
vs Similar (11)71.273.4144.5-2.245%
vs Weaker (4)66.254.2120.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
117-57
117
57
+60
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A02/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-48
50-39
59-21
58-36
49-42
42-60
34-34
33-34
35-29
37-31
33-34
41-48
34-22
43-40
34-35
42-28
43-39
50-48
38-21
35-37
154.4Avg total
81.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.074.0157.9+10.065%
Season at home (8)88.465.9154.2+22.588%
Season away (12)81.179.3160.4+1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.872.6154.4+9.260%
Last 5 (5)78.670.4149.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.871.6139.4-3.840%
vs Similar (11)80.577.8158.3+2.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.274.9157.2+7.358%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +3.0+3.0
Missouri StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.367.7+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.730.269.9+9.569%-
Last 30 away (14)30.634.765.3-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.667.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.266.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.135.268.2-2.117%-
vs Similar (11)34.932.367.2+2.664%-
vs Weaker (4)31.823.855.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.433.972.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.531.171.5+9.469%-
Last 30 away (17)36.836.172.9+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.571.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.266.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.835.067.8-2.220%-
vs Similar (11)38.535.073.5+3.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.833.773.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri State wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HWestern Kentucky73-58
22/01/26HKennesaw State93-87
17/01/26AFlorida International76-63
15/01/26AJacksonville State77-62
10/01/26HLiberty74-82
09/01/26HDelaware72-60
04/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.67-68
02/01/26AWestern Kentucky91-102
28/12/25HCBS Ambassadors117-57
21/12/25ANew Mexico State78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%82%33%
Points / game75.680.569.6
Allowed / game72.269.275.8
Point differential+3.5+11.4-6.2
Avg total147.8149.7145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %65%88%50%
Points / game84.088.481.1
Allowed / game74.065.979.3
Point differential+10.1+22.5+1.8
Avg total157.9154.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2017385%79.467.2+12.2
2 Sam Houston St.2013765%84.074.0+10.1
3 Kennesaw State2113862%87.077.0+10.0
4 Missouri State2012860%75.672.2+3.5
5 New Mexico State1911858%77.269.8+7.4
6 Louisiana Tech1911858%68.461.3+7.1
7 Middle Tenn. St.1911858%74.770.1+4.6
8 Jacksonville State2011955%73.366.3+7.0
9 Western Kentucky21111052%78.375.5+2.8
10 Florida International21101148%82.878.5+4.3
11 UTEP2071335%69.872.5-2.6
12 Delaware1951426%65.471.9-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State333871
Sam Houston St.384280
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