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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 55-38
28-16 27-22
Position#173
Record9-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#162
Record13-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game60.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
VALP69
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
VALP75
SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#162
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
22-31
34-34
32-27
42-36
36-52
32-35
54-42
16-36
44-31
36-23
31-42
26-37
43-43
34-28
46-42
19-34
32-29
35-39
33-31
137.9Avg total
67.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.471.9143.3-0.543%
Season at home (9)72.966.7139.6+6.267%
Season away (12)70.275.8146.1-5.625%
Last 10 (10)67.570.4137.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)67.069.6136.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.274.5137.7-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.371.2139.5-2.940%
vs Weaker (9)78.967.8146.7+11.189%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#173
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
48-64
48
64
-16
A17/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
64-60 OT
64
60
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
31-22
29-26
19-41
26-31
22-33
31-23
35-26
28-26
40-40
17-23
41-32
31-33
37-30
42-29
37-43
24-22
30-32
43-41
25-25
124.2Avg total
63.0Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)63.660.3123.9+3.468%
Season at home (10)67.955.4123.3+12.5100%
Season away (9)58.965.7124.6-6.833%
Last 10 (10)63.061.2124.2+1.880%
Last 5 (5)67.463.2130.6+4.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.362.8122.2-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.161.1126.3+4.071%
vs Weaker (6)66.256.7122.8+9.583%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#162
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
30.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.966.6-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.131.565.6+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)31.136.767.9-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.463.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.262.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.037.568.5-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.834.165.9-2.330%-
vs Weaker (9)36.331.367.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#173
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
17-23
17
23
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/02
NCAA
58.5Avg total
30.3Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.728.259.9+3.574%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.427.662.0+6.890%-
Last 30 away (9)28.828.957.7-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)30.328.258.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.661.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.828.359.2+2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.331.465.7+2.971%-
vs Weaker (6)29.724.354.0+5.383%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
08/01/20Southern Illinois v Valparaiso63-50
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ALoyola Chicago68-70
06/02/20HNorthern Iowa51-63
02/02/20HIllinois State80-70
30/01/20ABradley69-80
26/01/20HEvansville67-65
24/01/20AMissouri State60-67
19/01/20HIndiana State86-77
16/01/20ANorthern Iowa78-88
11/01/20HDrake66-61
08/01/20ASouthern Illinois50-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HMissouri State68-66
06/02/20AEvansville64-60 OT
01/02/20ADrake79-72
30/01/20HLoyola Chicago68-63
25/01/20AIllinois State58-55
23/01/20HNorthern Iowa68-66
19/01/20HDrake66-49
17/01/20ALoyola Chicago48-64
12/01/20ABradley48-67
08/01/20HValparaiso63-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game71.472.970.2
Allowed / game71.966.775.8
Point differential-0.5+6.2-5.6
Avg total143.3139.6146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%100%33%
Points / game63.667.958.9
Allowed / game60.355.465.7
Point differential+3.4+12.5-6.8
Avg total123.9123.3124.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1815383%78.266.2+12.0
2 Murray State2015575%76.065.8+10.2
3 Indiana State1914574%70.263.7+6.5
4 Southern Illinois1913668%63.660.3+3.4
5 Belmont2114767%78.769.7+9.0
6 Bradley2113862%70.064.7+5.3
7 Drake2113862%68.767.4+1.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)22111150%69.770.0-0.2
9 Valparaiso2191243%71.471.9-0.5
10 Illinois State2161529%65.470.5-5.1
11 Evansville2261627%67.475.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso282755
Southern Illinois162238
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