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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 58-71
31-38 27-33
Position#57
Record14-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#196
Record10-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A19/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A23/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-39
68
39
+29
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-21
36-31
34-19
31-23
35-32
42-54
23-40
32-35
30-33
31-20
32-33
26-23
46-38
32-30
43-23
25-16
23-32
44-42
29-33
32-39
127.2Avg total
65.5Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.864.2133.9+5.670%
Season at home (11)69.556.6126.2+12.9100%
Season away (9)70.073.3143.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)65.561.7127.2+3.860%
Last 5 (5)66.461.8128.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.768.3140.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.964.1131.0+2.757%
vs Weaker (9)72.263.8136.0+8.478%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H16/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
97-62
97
62
+35
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-48
29-32
41-51
37-40
30-35
38-23
36-16
31-44
25-37
44-34
31-51
35-44
38-46
30-32
42-26
38-34
41-43
25-25
52-30
45-32
143.9Avg total
71.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.768.8138.5+1.048%
Season at home (10)74.466.7141.1+7.770%
Season away (11)65.570.6136.1-5.227%
Last 10 (10)71.672.3143.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)75.472.6148.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.879.8144.6-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.070.9140.9-0.920%
vs Weaker (7)73.159.6132.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.2+1.2
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A23/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)33.330.664.0+2.761%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.526.360.8+8.283%-
Last 30 away (11)32.135.367.4-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)32.430.462.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.866.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.027.758.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.632.467.0+2.157%-
vs Weaker (9)34.430.765.1+3.867%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
36.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)33.333.166.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.632.167.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (12)31.034.265.2-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.374.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.237.066.2-7.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.034.269.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker (7)32.628.761.3+3.957%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana State wins
0
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20Missouri State v Indiana State68-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20ABradley61-72
09/02/20AIllinois State67-74
05/02/20HLoyola Chicago68-39
01/02/20AMissouri State78-68
30/01/20HDrake58-56
25/01/20HBradley61-53
23/01/20ALoyola Chicago55-75
19/01/20AValparaiso77-86
16/01/20HEvansville65-42
11/01/20HIllinois State65-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20HDrake97-62
09/02/20ASouthern Illinois66-68
06/02/20HIllinois State80-60
01/02/20HIndiana State68-78
30/01/20ANorthern Iowa66-95
26/01/20ADrake69-71
24/01/20HValparaiso67-60
18/01/20AEvansville68-58
16/01/20HBradley78-91
11/01/20HNorthern Iowa57-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %70%100%33%
Points / game69.869.570.0
Allowed / game64.256.673.3
Point differential+5.6+12.9-3.3
Avg total133.9126.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%64%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Missouri State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%70%27%
Points / game69.774.465.5
Allowed / game68.866.770.6
Point differential+1.0+7.7-5.2
Avg total138.5141.1136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2016480%77.566.8+10.8
2 Murray State2216673%76.065.6+10.4
3 Indiana State2014670%69.864.2+5.6
4 Belmont2316770%79.469.5+9.9
5 Bradley2315865%70.164.7+5.4
6 Southern Illinois2113862%62.660.4+2.1
7 Drake2213959%68.468.7-0.4
8 Illinois (Chi.)24121250%69.469.0+0.3
9 Valparaiso23111248%70.470.0+0.4
10 Evansville2261627%67.475.8-8.4
11 Illinois State2361726%65.170.3-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2219386%68.352.2+16.1
2 New Mexico State2319483%71.760.2+11.6
3 Louisiana Tech2216673%72.863.7+9.0
4 Sam Houston St.2215768%80.572.8+7.7
5 Western Kentucky2214864%73.170.8+2.3
6 Delaware2113862%74.673.6+1.0
7 Missouri State21101148%69.768.8+1.0
8 Jacksonville State2391439%71.870.2+1.6
9 UTEP2391439%65.467.1-1.7
10 Middle Tenn. St.2231914%68.976.2-7.3
11 Kennesaw State221215%55.575.2-19.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State312758
Missouri State383371
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