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Kentucky vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-81
35-36 45-45
Position#273
Record5-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#20
Record14-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Kentucky v Arkansas
01 Feb 2025
KENT79
ARKA89
02 Mar 2024
KENT111
ARKA102
07 Feb 2023
KENT73
ARKA88
09 Feb 2021
KENT80
ARKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#179
W
78-73 OT
78
73
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A09/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H13/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A21/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H23/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
31-26
33-40
44-34
35-29
41-29
30-42
35-43
25-21
34-45
27-30
35-33
49-36
33-33
32-35
27-35
27-40
43-35
42-34
29-48
141.4Avg total
69.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.869.5137.3-1.629%
Season at home (9)69.870.6140.3-0.833%
Season away (8)65.668.2133.9-2.625%
Last 10 (10)69.971.5141.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)68.871.8140.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.771.8139.4-4.122%
vs Similar (14)69.668.2137.8+1.457%
vs Weaker (7)73.666.4140.0+7.186%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
38-48
40-33
34-46
43-37
56-32
31-51
45-41
19-42
40-48
31-43
44-30
45-35
47-36
37-25
37-34
34-38
43-43
28-22
33-23
149.5Avg total
75.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.769.4152.1+13.474%
Season at home (13)84.463.1147.5+21.392%
Season away (6)79.283.0162.2-3.833%
Last 10 (10)75.574.0149.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)75.865.8141.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (11)74.376.8151.1-2.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.970.7155.6+14.372%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
KentuckyArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#179
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A21/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.765.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.468.5+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)30.732.162.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.267.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.733.169.8+3.667%-
vs Similar (14)30.833.964.7-3.143%-
vs Weaker (7)32.329.962.1+2.457%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H03/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
33.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.171.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.531.370.7+8.274%-
Last 30 away (11)33.139.072.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.969.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.667.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (11)33.634.568.1-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.734.172.8+4.761%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
0
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21HTennessee71-82
04/02/21AMissouri70-75
27/01/21AAlabama59-70
23/01/21HLSU82-69
21/01/21AGeorgia62-63
16/01/21AAuburn59-66
13/01/21HAlabama65-85
09/01/21AFlorida76-58
06/01/21HVanderbilt77-74
02/01/21AMississippi St.78-73 OT
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21HMississippi St.61-45
30/01/21AOklahoma State77-81
28/01/21HOle Miss74-59
23/01/21AVanderbilt92-71
21/01/21HAuburn75-73
16/01/21AAlabama59-90
14/01/21ALSU76-92
09/01/21HGeorgia99-69
07/01/21ATennessee74-79
02/01/21HMissouri68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game67.869.865.6
Allowed / game69.570.668.2
Point differential-1.6-0.8-2.6
Avg total137.3140.3133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Arkansas
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%92%33%
Points / game82.784.479.2
Allowed / game69.463.183.0
Point differential+13.4+21.3-3.8
Avg total152.1147.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%85%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1613381%74.869.9+4.9
2 Tennessee1713476%72.459.6+12.7
3 Alabama2116576%79.269.6+9.6
4 Arkansas1914574%82.769.4+13.4
5 Oklahoma1712571%75.567.0+8.5
6 Texas1611569%75.467.8+7.6
7 Florida1510567%77.571.1+6.5
8 Georgia1812667%77.775.1+2.6
9 LSU1711665%81.574.3+7.2
10 Ole Miss1810856%69.163.4+5.7
11 Mississippi St.2011955%70.865.2+5.5
12 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
13 Auburn20101050%79.076.2+2.9
14 South Carolina135838%74.175.9-1.8
15 Vanderbilt145936%73.774.4-0.6
16 Kentucky1751229%67.869.5-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky354580
Arkansas364581
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