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Kastela vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-62
24-27 23-12 22-12 20-11
Position#3
Record18-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game75.2
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#2
Record20-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game76.0
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Mladost
23 Apr 2026
KAST64
MLAD58
29 Nov 2025
KAST73
MLAD80
27 Apr 2025
KAST89
MLAD62
16 Apr 2025
KAST87
MLAD66
10 Feb 2024
KAST84
MLAD66
04 Feb 2023
KAST70
MLAD57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
94avg 83
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 83
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 83
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 83
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 83
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
88avg 83
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
93avg 83
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
109avg 83
A12/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
83avg 83
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
60avg 83
A24/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
18-12
24-22
23-24
25-20
31-17
19-26
18-16
28-21
28-20
26-12
26-21
14-25
25-35
23-16
21-19
19-12
15-25
20-17
25-17
20-16
22-29
20-16
25-11
27-19
27-19
14-26
23-25
21-18
30-30
21-22
19-21
27-19
24-16
22-20
14-11
18-18
9-12
24-26
13-16
169.1Avg total
88.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.175.2161.3+10.967%
Season at home (13)91.772.1163.8+19.692%
Season away (14)80.978.1159.1+2.843%
Last 10 (10)88.780.4169.1+8.370%
Last 5 (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (5)79.477.8157.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.774.9161.6+11.770%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Bosco
#13
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 75
A25/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 75
H01/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 75
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
79-62
79
62
+17
82avg 75
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
87avg 75
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 75
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 75
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
76-62
76
62
+14
65avg 75
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
54avg 75
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 75
H24/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
12-17
22-10
11-25
19-23
24-24
24-14
21-22
20-18
17-25
18-22
16-28
19-17
23-17
16-12
21-16
22-22
23-24
19-16
27-21
17-18
21-21
15-20
22-15
24-20
23-12
22-17
21-15
13-16
14-23
20-12
29-11
19-27
16-24
20-22
11-14
18-18
12-9
26-24
16-13
151.4Avg total
77.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.776.0157.7+5.774%
Season at home (14)82.474.6156.9+7.893%
Season away (13)81.077.5158.5+3.554%
Last 10 (10)77.274.2151.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)75.870.2146.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.686.1163.7-8.644%
vs Similar (7)79.475.3154.7+4.157%
vs Weaker (14)83.172.9156.1+10.286%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
KastelaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A12/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A24/04
Prva Liga
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.378.2+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.978.9+7.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.677.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.642.679.2-6.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.636.078.6+6.657%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosco
#13
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H01/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/04
Prva Liga
76.8Avg total
37.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.381.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.780.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.376.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.673.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.647.488.0-6.922%-
vs Similar (7)36.141.477.6-5.329%-
vs Weaker (14)41.537.478.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.4
51.3%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.8
41.3%
33.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
70.4%12.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.4
47.8%
52.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.410.8
70.1%
70.4%10.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LWLWWWLWWW
Mladost
WLWWWWWLWL
#3
League position
#2
+9.9
Net rating
+3.6
113.0
Offensive rating
98.7
103.0
Defensive rating
95.0
56.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
41.3%
3-point %
34.7%
78.8%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 98.7Defence103.0 · 95.0Shooting56.2% · 49.3%3-point %41.3% · 34.7%Ball care16.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Kastela   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kastela wins
2
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25AMladost64-72
16/04/25HMladost87-66
12/04/25AGorica109-116 OT
06/04/25HKK Zagreb91-89
29/03/25ABosco87-72
23/03/25AHermes79-71
16/03/25ASamobor83-95
08/03/25HDakovo108-74
01/03/25AOmis93-79
23/02/25HMarsonia86-70
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HKastela72-64
16/04/25AKastela66-87
13/04/25HKK Zagreb76-62
06/04/25AHermes90-64
29/03/25ADakovo75-74
23/03/25AMarsonia91-83
15/03/25HJazine79-62
08/03/25ASkrljevo71-93
01/03/25HGorica88-83
25/02/25ABosco64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%92%43%
Points / game86.191.780.9
Allowed / game75.272.178.1
Point differential+10.9+19.6+2.8
Avg total161.3163.8159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%93%54%
Points / game81.782.481.0
Allowed / game76.074.677.5
Point differential+5.7+7.8+3.5
Avg total157.7156.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2823582%88.180.4+7.7
2 Mladost2720774%81.776.0+5.7
3 Kastela2718967%86.175.2+10.9
4 Skrljevo2617965%90.281.7+8.5
5 Jazine28181064%89.382.4+6.9
6 Marsonia26141254%84.683.3+1.3
7 Gorica26141254%81.883.8-2.0
8 KK Zagreb26131350%79.177.8+1.3
9 Sonik Puntamika26111542%74.776.2-1.5
10 Omis26101638%77.380.0-2.7
11 Crikvenica2681831%68.278.1-9.9
12 Dakovo2671927%76.584.7-8.3
13 Bosco2671927%75.684.3-8.7
14 Hermes2652119%77.588.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2423222089
Mladost2712121162
← all games of the day
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