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Dubrovnik vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-78
21-21 32-21 20-11 22-25
Position#11
Record6-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#7
Record11-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game75.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Alkar
29 Jan 2027
DUBR v ALKA
upcoming
09 May 2026
DUBR87
ALKA70
14 Jan 2026
DUBR79
ALKA60
08 Apr 2025
DUBR95
ALKA78
09 Nov 2024
DUBR64
ALKA55
17 Apr 2024
DUBR76
ALKA72
25 Nov 2023
DUBR78
ALKA75
16 Mar 2013
DUBR76
ALKA77
15 Apr 2012
DUBR78
ALKA88
12 Nov 2011
DUBR78
ALKA69
27 Nov 2010
DUBR83
ALKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
51avg 67
A25/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
59avg 67
H29/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 67
H01/02
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 67
A09/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
89-82
89
82
+7
77avg 67
H02/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
75avg 67
A11/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 67
H15/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 67
A22/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
87avg 67
H28/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
89-103
89
103
-14
80avg 67
A04/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
21-22
14-18
17-14
17-18
10-25
19-24
18-15
23-22
19-13
27-22
13-29
20-24
19-24
22-24
20-28
24-21
28-19
19-18
18-24
23-27
11-14
26-20
24-29
20-16
24-25
16-22
22-14
19-19
23-28
21-17
11-22
19-20
23-15
28-15
22-16
21-36
23-19
21-25
24-23
164.6Avg total
80.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.383.1159.3-6.822%
Season at home (13)77.378.3155.6-1.038%
Season away (14)75.387.5162.8-12.27%
Last 10 (10)80.184.5164.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)84.284.4168.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.588.1163.6-12.66%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.176.8152.9-0.733%
vs Weaker (3)81.078.7159.7+2.367%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Kastela
#8
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 64
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-62 OT
72
62
+10
69avg 64
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
52avg 64
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
80avg 64
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
81avg 64
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 64
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
67avg 64
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
28avg 64
H23/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 64
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
63avg 64
H04/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
17-11
20-20
18-9
21-14
13-16
16-19
8-9
8-25
16-17
19-21
17-14
27-13
12-20
16-20
26-8
30-23
23-14
15-28
18-31
13-31
16-18
23-10
20-11
20-27
17-26
11-24
18-26
14-13
15-18
8-20
7-12
15-14
16-21
24-14
18-11
22-11
17-17
12-12
18-20
140.1Avg total
70.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.875.7145.5-5.941%
Season at home (14)72.370.1142.4+2.171%
Season away (13)67.281.6148.8-14.58%
Last 10 (10)70.070.1140.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)64.871.2136.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.878.1146.9-9.327%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.470.8142.2+0.756%
vs Weaker (5)74.465.8140.2+8.680%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
DubrovnikAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/02
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A09/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H15/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A04/04
Premijer liga
82.5Avg total
39.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.280.0-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.379.4-1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.644.180.7-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.682.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.244.680.8-8.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.137.376.4+1.878%-
vs Weaker (3)45.339.785.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#8
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/04
Premijer liga
71.2Avg total
35.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.573.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.974.7-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.637.172.7-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.871.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.272.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.740.776.3-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.435.270.7+0.256%-
vs Weaker (5)37.632.670.2+5.060%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.8
53.5%
53.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.4
28.1%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
73.3%15.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.0
50.6%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.610.7
68.6%
73.3%10.7
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LWLWLWLLLL
Alkar
WWLLWLWLWW
#11
League position
#7
-6.1
Net rating
+0.1
105.1
Offensive rating
97.5
111.2
Defensive rating
97.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.1%
3-point %
32.9%
60.6%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 97.5Defence111.2 · 97.4Shooting48.9% · 50.1%3-point %28.1% · 32.9%Ball care17.1% · 21.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dubrovnik wins
7
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Alkar v Dubrovnik73-64
09/11/24Dubrovnik v Alkar64-55
17/04/24Dubrovnik v Alkar76-72
10/02/24Alkar v Dubrovnik58-57
25/11/23Dubrovnik v Alkar78-75
16/03/13Dubrovnik v Alkar76-77
01/12/12Alkar v Dubrovnik80-52
15/04/12Dubrovnik v Alkar78-88
24/03/12Alkar v Dubrovnik81-78
18/02/12Alkar v Dubrovnik101-85
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25ACibona89-103
28/03/25HGKK Sibenka92-66
22/03/25ADinamo Zagreb74-86
15/03/25HOsijek82-77
11/03/25AKvarner84-90
02/03/25HOsijek89-82
09/02/25ADubrava81-100
01/02/25HZabok82-86
29/01/25HSplit64-82
25/01/25AAlkar64-73
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HGKK Sibenka69-60
29/03/25AOsijek73-60
23/03/25HZadar44-63
14/03/25ASplit66-103
12/03/25HCedevita Junior72-70
01/03/25ADinamo Zagreb86-96
22/02/25HKvarner81-61
15/02/25HSplit60-77
14/02/25HCedevita Junior72-62 OT
12/02/25AKastela77-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL22%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%38%7%
Points / game76.377.375.3
Allowed / game83.178.387.5
Point differential-6.8-1.0-12.2
Avg total159.3155.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW41%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%71%8%
Points / game69.872.367.2
Allowed / game75.770.181.6
Point differential-5.9+2.1-14.5
Avg total145.5142.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2724389%78.964.1+14.9
2 Split2721678%87.373.0+14.4
3 Cedevita Junior2719870%85.177.1+8.0
4 Cibona27171063%85.580.0+5.5
5 Kvarner27141352%80.480.8-0.4
6 Dinamo Zagreb27131448%84.385.1-0.9
7 Zabok27121544%80.185.4-5.4
8 Alkar27111641%69.875.7-5.9
9 Dubrava27101737%78.885.9-7.1
10 GKK Sibenka2781930%74.382.3-8.0
11 Osijek2772026%75.283.6-8.4
12 Dubrovnik2762122%76.383.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrovnik2132202295
Alkar2121112578
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