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Mladost vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-86
18-32 19-20 17-14 20-20
Position#2
Record21-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record24-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game80.6
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Final· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Samobor
10 May 2025
MLAD74
SAMO86
16 Feb 2025
MLAD94
SAMO88
27 Oct 2023
MLAD82
SAMO89
26 Apr 2023
MLAD111
SAMO99
08 Mar 2023
MLAD99
SAMO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
79-62
79
62
+17
82avg 74
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
87avg 74
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 74
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 74
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
76-62
76
62
+14
65avg 74
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
54avg 74
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 74
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
51avg 74
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-67
71
67
+4
68avg 74
H30/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
75avg 74
A07/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-17
16-12
21-16
22-22
23-24
19-16
27-21
17-18
21-21
15-20
22-15
24-20
23-12
22-17
21-15
13-16
14-23
20-12
29-11
19-27
16-24
20-22
11-14
18-18
12-9
26-24
16-13
27-24
12-23
12-22
11-20
14-18
27-14
10-16
20-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
15-24
151.6Avg total
76.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.876.8157.6+4.170%
Season at home (15)81.674.1155.7+7.593%
Season away (15)80.179.5159.5+0.647%
Last 10 (10)76.874.8151.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)71.480.6152.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.084.6162.6-6.650%
vs Similar (6)80.272.7152.8+7.567%
vs Weaker (14)83.172.9156.1+10.286%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 83
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 83
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 83
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 83
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 83
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 83
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
73avg 83
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
66avg 83
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
100avg 83
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 83
H07/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
19-21
22-18
27-26
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
25-18
18-27
22-20
22-15
26-21
34-24
30-19
19-18
15-19
20-28
25-20
13-13
22-19
17-28
32-17
15-17
21-32
19-22
21-22
16-22
14-22
16-16
20-11
14-15
30-10
22-17
25-27
17-11
31-20
25-29
16-22
24-15
170.9Avg total
88.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.480.6169.0+7.883%
Season at home (15)87.577.3164.8+10.193%
Season away (14)89.484.1173.5+5.271%
Last 10 (10)88.582.4170.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)86.280.8167.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.883.4170.1+3.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.079.6168.6+9.486%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
MladostSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/05
Prva Liga
79.6Avg total
39.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.781.1-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.780.8+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.781.4-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.379.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.345.887.1-4.530%-
vs Similar (6)36.539.876.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (14)41.537.478.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
89.8Avg total
45.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.341.087.3+5.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.840.386.1+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)46.941.988.7+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.289.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)45.640.185.8+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.841.188.0+5.762%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.7
49.7%
52.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.010.4
69.3%
70.4%10.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.125.2
58.5%
52.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.6
31.7%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.311.3
69.3%
70.4%11.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWLWLWWWWW
Samobor
WWWLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+2.6
Net rating
+7.3
100.4
Offensive rating
112.2
97.8
Defensive rating
104.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
31.7%
57.4%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 112.2Defence97.8 · 104.9Shooting49.4% · 54.3%3-point %32.6% · 31.7%Ball care19.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Mladost   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mladost wins
4
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
07/05/25Samobor v Mladost96-86
16/02/25Mladost v Samobor94-88
02/11/24Samobor v Mladost99-91
06/02/24Samobor v Mladost113-92
27/10/23Mladost v Samobor82-89
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25ASamobor86-96
30/04/25HKastela71-67
27/04/25AKastela62-89
24/04/25HKastela72-64
16/04/25AKastela66-87
13/04/25HKK Zagreb76-62
06/04/25AHermes90-64
29/03/25ADakovo75-74
23/03/25AMarsonia91-83
15/03/25HJazine79-62
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HMladost96-86
27/04/25AJazine94-65
24/04/25HJazine78-74 OT
17/04/25AMarsonia77-98
13/04/25HJazine86-81
06/04/25ASkrljevo73-80
02/04/25AGorica109-82
22/03/25ABosco87-80
16/03/25HKastela95-83
08/03/25HOmis90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL70%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%93%47%
Points / game80.881.680.1
Allowed / game76.874.179.5
Point differential+4.1+7.5+0.6
Avg total157.6155.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%93%71%
Points / game88.487.589.4
Allowed / game80.677.384.1
Point differential+7.8+10.1+5.2
Avg total169.0164.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)83% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2924583%88.480.6+7.8
2 Mladost3021970%80.876.8+4.1
3 Kastela29191066%85.674.6+10.9
4 Skrljevo2617965%90.281.7+8.5
5 Jazine28181064%89.382.4+6.9
6 Marsonia26141254%84.683.3+1.3
7 Gorica26141254%81.883.8-2.0
8 KK Zagreb26131350%79.177.8+1.3
9 Sonik Puntamika26111542%74.776.2-1.5
10 Omis26101638%77.380.0-2.7
11 Crikvenica2681831%68.278.1-9.9
12 Dakovo2671927%76.584.7-8.3
13 Bosco2671927%75.684.3-8.7
14 Hermes2652119%77.588.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost1819172074
Samobor3220142086
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