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Mladost vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 71-67
14-18 27-14 10-16 20-19
Position#2
Record20-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.4
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record19-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.8
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Kastela
26 Apr 2026
MLAD59
KAST63
15 Mar 2026
MLAD52
KAST74
30 Apr 2025
MLAD71
KAST67
24 Apr 2025
MLAD72
KAST64
19 Jan 2025
MLAD94
KAST93
04 Nov 2023
MLAD76
KAST98
06 Nov 2022
MLAD75
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Gorica
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 74
H01/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 74
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
79-62
79
62
+17
82avg 74
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
87avg 74
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 74
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 74
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
76-62
76
62
+14
65avg 74
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
54avg 74
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 74
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
51avg 74
A27/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-24
24-14
21-22
20-18
17-25
18-22
16-28
19-17
23-17
16-12
21-16
22-22
23-24
19-16
27-21
17-18
21-21
15-20
22-15
24-20
23-12
22-17
21-15
13-16
14-23
20-12
29-11
19-27
16-24
20-22
11-14
18-18
12-9
26-24
16-13
27-24
12-23
12-22
11-20
153.1Avg total
77.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.076.4157.4+4.671%
Season at home (14)82.474.6156.9+7.893%
Season away (14)79.678.3157.9+1.450%
Last 10 (10)77.076.1153.1+0.970%
Last 5 (5)73.273.2146.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.086.4162.4-10.440%
vs Similar (6)80.272.7152.8+7.567%
vs Weaker (14)83.172.9156.1+10.286%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 84
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 84
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 84
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 84
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
88avg 84
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
93avg 84
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
109avg 84
A12/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
83avg 84
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
60avg 84
A24/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 84
H27/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
31-17
19-26
18-16
28-21
28-20
26-12
26-21
14-25
25-35
23-16
21-19
19-12
15-25
20-17
25-17
20-16
22-29
20-16
25-11
27-19
27-19
14-26
23-25
21-18
30-30
21-22
19-21
27-19
24-16
22-20
14-11
18-18
9-12
24-26
13-16
24-27
23-12
22-12
20-11
168.6Avg total
89.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.274.8161.0+11.568%
Season at home (14)91.571.4162.9+20.193%
Season away (14)80.978.1159.1+2.843%
Last 10 (10)89.079.6168.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)88.081.0169.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.874.4161.1+12.471%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
MladostKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H01/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A27/04
Prva Liga
78.8Avg total
38.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.281.3-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.580.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.578.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.447.487.8-7.020%-
vs Similar (6)36.539.876.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (14)41.537.478.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A12/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A24/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H27/04
Prva Liga
86.7Avg total
45.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.378.4+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.179.3+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)38.838.677.4+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.086.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (4)35.543.579.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.836.178.9+6.658%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.8
48.4%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
33.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.311.3
69.3%
70.4%11.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.9
50.0%
52.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.513.2
41.9%
33.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
70.4%12.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWLWWWWWLW
Kastela
WLWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
+0.9
Net rating
+11.4
98.7
Offensive rating
113.3
97.7
Defensive rating
102.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
41.9%
59.6%
Assist %
80.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 113.3Defence97.7 · 102.0Shooting49.2% · 56.0%3-point %33.9% · 41.9%Ball care20.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Mladost   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mladost wins
6
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Kastela v Mladost89-62
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AKastela62-89
24/04/25HKastela72-64
16/04/25AKastela66-87
13/04/25HKK Zagreb76-62
06/04/25AHermes90-64
29/03/25ADakovo75-74
23/03/25AMarsonia91-83
15/03/25HJazine79-62
08/03/25ASkrljevo71-93
01/03/25HGorica88-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HMladost89-62
24/04/25AMladost64-72
16/04/25HMladost87-66
12/04/25AGorica109-116 OT
06/04/25HKK Zagreb91-89
29/03/25ABosco87-72
23/03/25AHermes79-71
16/03/25ASamobor83-95
08/03/25HDakovo108-74
01/03/25AOmis93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%93%50%
Points / game81.082.479.6
Allowed / game76.474.678.3
Point differential+4.6+7.8+1.4
Avg total157.4156.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%93%43%
Points / game86.291.580.9
Allowed / game74.871.478.1
Point differential+11.5+20.1+2.8
Avg total161.0162.9159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2823582%88.180.4+7.7
2 Mladost2820871%81.076.4+4.6
3 Kastela2819968%86.274.8+11.5
4 Skrljevo2617965%90.281.7+8.5
5 Jazine28181064%89.382.4+6.9
6 Marsonia26141254%84.683.3+1.3
7 Gorica26141254%81.883.8-2.0
8 KK Zagreb26131350%79.177.8+1.3
9 Sonik Puntamika26111542%74.776.2-1.5
10 Omis26101638%77.380.0-2.7
11 Crikvenica2681831%68.278.1-9.9
12 Dakovo2671927%76.584.7-8.3
13 Bosco2671927%75.684.3-8.7
14 Hermes2652119%77.588.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost1427102071
Kastela1814161967
← all games of the day
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