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Samobor vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-86
31-20 25-29 16-22 24-15
Position#1
Record23-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.4
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#2
Record21-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.1
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Final· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Mladost
07 May 2025
SAMO96
MLAD86
02 Nov 2024
SAMO99
MLAD91
06 Feb 2024
SAMO113
MLAD92
25 Mar 2023
SAMO75
MLAD109
03 Dec 2022
SAMO73
MLAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 83
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 83
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 83
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 83
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 83
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 83
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 83
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
73avg 83
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
66avg 83
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
100avg 83
A27/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-19
18-9
21-23
22-30
19-21
22-18
27-26
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
25-18
18-27
22-20
22-15
26-21
34-24
30-19
19-18
15-19
20-28
25-20
13-13
22-19
17-28
32-17
15-17
21-32
19-22
21-22
16-22
14-22
16-16
20-11
14-15
30-10
22-17
25-27
17-11
167.9Avg total
87.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.180.4168.5+7.782%
Season at home (14)86.976.7163.6+10.193%
Season away (14)89.484.1173.5+5.271%
Last 10 (10)87.180.8167.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)81.679.6161.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.083.0156.0-10.00%
vs Similar (8)86.883.4170.1+3.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.779.2167.9+9.485%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 74
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
79-62
79
62
+17
82avg 74
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
87avg 74
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 74
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 74
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
76-62
76
62
+14
65avg 74
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
54avg 74
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 74
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
51avg 74
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-67
71
67
+4
68avg 74
H30/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-25
18-22
16-28
19-17
23-17
16-12
21-16
22-22
23-24
19-16
27-21
17-18
21-21
15-20
22-15
24-20
23-12
22-17
21-15
13-16
14-23
20-12
29-11
19-27
16-24
20-22
11-14
18-18
12-9
26-24
16-13
27-24
12-23
12-22
11-20
14-18
27-14
10-16
20-19
149.8Avg total
75.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.776.1156.8+4.672%
Season at home (15)81.674.1155.7+7.593%
Season away (14)79.678.3157.9+1.450%
Last 10 (10)75.374.5149.8+0.870%
Last 5 (5)69.473.8143.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.184.3161.4-7.250%
vs Similar (6)80.272.7152.8+7.567%
vs Weaker (14)83.172.9156.1+10.286%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
SamoborMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A27/04
Prva Liga
87.4Avg total
44.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.986.4+4.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.440.084.4+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)46.941.988.7+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.187.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.681.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)45.640.185.8+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.440.887.1+5.660%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/04
Prva Liga
77.1Avg total
38.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.680.7-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.780.8+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.580.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.077.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.273.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.545.586.0-5.030%-
vs Similar (6)36.539.876.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (14)41.537.478.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.4
56.9%
52.0%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.810.7
67.7%
70.4%10.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.1
48.8%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
33.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
70.4%10.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLWLWWWLW
Mladost
WLWLWWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+7.3
Net rating
+0.8
110.2
Offensive rating
97.9
102.9
Defensive rating
97.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.4%
3-point %
32.4%
57.8%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 97.9Defence102.9 · 97.1Shooting53.6% · 48.8%3-point %32.4% · 32.4%Ball care15.8% · 20.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samobor wins
5
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Mladost v Samobor94-88
02/11/24Samobor v Mladost99-91
06/02/24Samobor v Mladost113-92
27/10/23Mladost v Samobor82-89
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AJazine94-65
24/04/25HJazine78-74 OT
17/04/25AMarsonia77-98
13/04/25HJazine86-81
06/04/25ASkrljevo73-80
02/04/25AGorica109-82
22/03/25ABosco87-80
16/03/25HKastela95-83
08/03/25HOmis90-95
01/03/25ASonik Puntamika82-70
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HKastela71-67
27/04/25AKastela62-89
24/04/25HKastela72-64
16/04/25AKastela66-87
13/04/25HKK Zagreb76-62
06/04/25AHermes90-64
29/03/25ADakovo75-74
23/03/25AMarsonia91-83
15/03/25HJazine79-62
08/03/25ASkrljevo71-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW82%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%93%71%
Points / game88.186.989.4
Allowed / game80.476.784.1
Point differential+7.7+10.1+5.2
Avg total168.5163.6173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)83% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %72%93%50%
Points / game80.781.679.6
Allowed / game76.174.178.3
Point differential+4.6+7.5+1.4
Avg total156.8155.7157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2823582%88.180.4+7.7
2 Mladost2921872%80.776.1+4.6
3 Kastela29191066%85.674.6+10.9
4 Skrljevo2617965%90.281.7+8.5
5 Jazine28181064%89.382.4+6.9
6 Marsonia26141254%84.683.3+1.3
7 Gorica26141254%81.883.8-2.0
8 KK Zagreb26131350%79.177.8+1.3
9 Sonik Puntamika26111542%74.776.2-1.5
10 Omis26101638%77.380.0-2.7
11 Crikvenica2681831%68.278.1-9.9
12 Dakovo2671927%76.584.7-8.3
13 Bosco2671927%75.684.3-8.7
14 Hermes2652119%77.588.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor3125162496
Mladost2029221586
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