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Gorica vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-92
14-25 19-19 21-31 21-17
Position#7
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Mladost
01 Apr 2026
GORI78
MLAD71
16 Nov 2024
GORI75
MLAD92
24 Feb 2024
GORI84
MLAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 77
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 77
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 77
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 77
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 77
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
78-108
78
108
-30
no box
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 77
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 77
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
90avg 77
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
95avg 77
A09/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
16-34
21-19
25-16
16-23
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
25-24
17-25
19-35
17-24
20-24
33-23
22-19
19-16
17-27
18-12
22-22
28-22
26-18
28-25
20-24
21-13
20-20
20-11
21-23
16-23
172.8Avg total
83.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.491.0180.4-1.680%
Season at home (2)94.581.0175.5+13.5100%
Season away (3)86.097.7183.7-11.767%
Last 10 (10)83.589.3172.8-5.850%
Last 5 (5)90.890.0180.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.487.1161.6-12.714%
vs Similar (8)86.581.5168.0+5.075%
vs Weaker (14)84.874.9159.6+9.986%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 70
A09/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 70
H16/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 70
A21/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-88
60
88
-28
45avg 70
H27/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 70
A06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 70
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 70
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 70
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
88avg 70
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 70
H09/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
9-23
25-19
20-18
31-22
20-23
21-21
17-11
11-20
23-31
23-18
18-22
18-24
22-27
13-19
7-18
15-29
26-24
13-20
23-20
29-21
21-23
19-17
21-23
15-17
27-16
16-19
16-17
15-13
20-22
14-15
26-18
29-33
16-23
29-25
17-18
26-12
28-21
19-19
14-19
161.1Avg total
79.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.478.2161.6+5.280%
Season at home (3)84.074.3158.3+9.7100%
Season away (2)82.584.0166.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)79.182.0161.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)83.478.2161.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.791.8168.5-15.16%
vs Similar (6)82.274.5156.7+7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.673.4154.0+7.186%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
GoricaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/11
Prva Liga
84.6Avg total
41.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.882.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.785.8+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.639.978.5-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.584.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.886.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (8)44.139.583.6+4.688%-
vs Weaker (14)42.040.282.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A21/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H27/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/11
Prva Liga
86.4Avg total
42.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.785.8-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.184.7+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.787.1-6.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.486.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.285.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.048.187.1-9.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.838.082.8+6.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.138.185.3+9.086%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.1
53.8%
52.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws13.59.9
73.3%
70.4%9.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.7%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
70.4%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWWWLLLLWL
Mladost
WLWWWLLLWL
#7
League position
#2
-3.3
Net rating
-3.8
104.7
Offensive rating
100.6
108.0
Defensive rating
104.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
34.7%
65.3%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 100.6Defence108.0 · 104.4Shooting53.7% · 51.2%3-point %35.7% · 34.7%Ball care19.1% · 21.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
0
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Gorica v Mladost84-69
19/11/23Mladost v Gorica63-82
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AKK Zagreb102-97 OT
02/11/24HHermes95-80
26/10/24ADakovo85-83
19/10/24HMarsonia94-82
15/10/24HSencur78-108
13/10/24AJazine71-113
16/04/24HKvarner78-92
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HBosco87-71
02/11/24ASamobor91-99
27/10/24HOmis75-68
19/10/24ASonik Puntamika74-69
12/10/24HCrikvenica90-84
06/04/24AJazine77-93
27/03/24HKK Zagreb60-88
21/03/24AMarsonia75-91
16/03/24HPodstrana89-77
09/03/24AKvarner73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game89.494.586.0
Allowed / game91.081.097.7
Point differential-1.6+13.5-11.7
Avg total180.4175.5183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.484.082.5
Allowed / game78.274.384.0
Point differential+5.2+9.7-1.5
Avg total161.6158.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor550100%91.081.0+10.0
2 Skrljevo54180%89.077.0+12.0
3 Jazine54180%99.288.6+10.6
4 Mladost54180%83.478.2+5.2
5 Gorica54180%89.491.0-1.6
6 Kastela64267%75.868.3+7.5
7 Sonik Puntamika52340%66.662.4+4.2
8 Marsonia52340%83.884.6-0.8
9 KK Zagreb52340%72.275.4-3.2
10 Hermes52340%81.686.2-4.6
11 Omis62433%67.370.5-3.2
12 Dakovo51420%78.892.2-13.4
13 Bosco61517%80.085.8-5.8
14 Crikvenica6060%68.382.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1419212175
Mladost2519311792
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