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Mogi vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-56
12-20 22-11 16-14 21-11
Position#8
Record9-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game69.7
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record9-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Caxias do Sul
29 Dec 2025
MOGI71
CAXI56
29 Nov 2024
MOGI74
CAXI71
14 Feb 2024
MOGI81
CAXI74
06 Apr 2022
MOGI86
CAXI65
08 Feb 2021
MOGI86
CAXI75
20 Apr 2018
MOGI54
CAXI65
18 Apr 2018
MOGI69
CAXI57
16 Feb 2018
MOGI76
CAXI75
02 Feb 2017
MOGI73
CAXI64
10 Nov 2015
MOGI83
CAXI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
84avg 68
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
99avg 68
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
53avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
93-68
93
68
+25
100avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 68
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
47avg 68
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
44avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 68
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
50avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 68
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
15-19
18-10
21-16
34-26
20-13
30-15
17-17
17-23
16-18
18-16
16-13
31-18
16-11
26-16
20-23
16-21
12-27
27-14
14-22
19-25
18-9
9-13
12-15
15-16
16-9
13-20
13-23
21-19
18-23
14-24
8-13
14-26
12-18
17-21
18-20
15-18
9-24
20-18
22-21
144.5Avg total
71.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.469.7146.1+6.750%
Season at home (8)79.961.6141.5+18.262%
Season away (10)73.676.1149.7-2.540%
Last 10 (10)71.972.6144.5-0.730%
Last 5 (5)60.675.0135.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.286.2158.4-13.98%
vs Similar (9)67.171.9139.0-4.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.564.2154.8+26.2100%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 66
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 66
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
60avg 66
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 66
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 66
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
60avg 66
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
72avg 66
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 66
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
64avg 66
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
60-100
60
100
-40
46avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
16-14
13-20
24-17
22-15
29-15
19-10
8-23
14-22
12-19
23-27
23-20
9-24
18-23
19-20
20-24
20-17
20-20
19-22
21-16
18-18
21-13
16-21
19-9
16-15
23-17
18-16
12-21
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
18-19
20-7
15-12
15-14
15-28
15-30
13-26
17-16
149.9Avg total
73.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.877.1149.8-4.350%
Season at home (7)76.174.4150.6+1.771%
Season away (11)70.678.7149.4-8.136%
Last 10 (10)73.276.7149.9-3.550%
Last 5 (5)74.074.6148.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.188.4158.5-18.417%
vs Similar (6)77.071.8148.8+5.267%
vs Weaker (6)78.070.7148.7+7.383%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
MogiCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A27/12
NBB
74.2Avg total
36.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.034.776.7+7.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.141.277.3-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.674.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.468.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.443.579.8-7.18%-
vs Similar (9)34.034.668.6-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.534.582.0+13.088%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A27/12
NBB
74.8Avg total
36.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.976.2-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.338.776.0-1.342%-
Last 30 away (18)33.942.476.4-8.528%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.474.8-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.645.277.8-12.66%-
vs Similar (6)39.033.872.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker (6)39.735.375.0+4.383%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.314.0
44.7%
52.2%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.1
30.4%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
72.8%12.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.3
46.8%
52.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
72.8%13.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLLLLLWLWW
Caxias do Sul
LWWLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#13
-1.8
Net rating
-6.5
96.8
Offensive rating
98.3
98.5
Defensive rating
104.8
45.2%
Effective FG%
46.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
30.8%
66.8%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 98.3Defence98.5 · 104.8Shooting45.2% · 46.5%3-point %30.4% · 30.8%Ball care18.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mogi wins
3
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25Caxias do Sul v Mogi82-75 OT
29/11/24Mogi v Caxias do Sul74-71
14/02/24Mogi v Caxias do Sul81-74
15/11/23Caxias do Sul v Mogi81-77
06/04/22Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-65
30/12/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi73-78
08/02/21Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-75
10/01/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi87-92 OT
23/04/18Caxias do Sul v Mogi70-80
21/04/18Mogi v Caxias do Sul54-65
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25APaulistano66-81
23/12/25AFranca61-85
19/12/25ASao Jose61-79
16/12/25HBrasilia57-68
12/12/25ABauru58-62
10/12/25APinheiros69-84
04/12/25AOsasco93-68
23/11/25HCorinthians Paulista67-70
21/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-71
17/11/25HPato86-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ACorinthians Paulista60-100
23/12/25HCearense68-52
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
18/12/25AVasco79-80 OT
16/12/25ASao Jose74-61
08/12/25ABotafogo80-75
06/12/25AFlamengo66-91
03/12/25HMinas72-88
01/12/25HCruzeiro78-63
23/11/25APaulistano66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game76.479.973.6
Allowed / game69.761.676.1
Point differential+6.7+18.2-2.5
Avg total146.1141.5149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %50%71%36%
Points / game72.876.170.6
Allowed / game77.174.478.7
Point differential-4.3+1.7-8.1
Avg total149.8150.6149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%43%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %11%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1917289%87.873.9+13.9
2 Flamengo1816289%88.374.6+13.7
3 Franca1916384%87.173.2+13.9
4 Minas1916384%86.978.2+8.7
5 Brasilia1914574%81.673.1+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1912763%80.977.3+3.6
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
10 Uniao Corinthians189950%78.780.6-1.9
11 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
12 Unifacisa1991047%81.781.0+0.7
13 Bauru1991047%73.775.1-1.4
14 Cruzeiro1961332%77.984.7-6.8
15 Pato1951426%72.181.0-8.9
16 Osasco1941521%75.286.1-10.8
17 Cearense1941521%77.788.7-11.1
18 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
19 Botafogo1831517%71.182.6-11.5
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1222162171
Caxias do Sul2011141156
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